StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

AJ Barner Projections

SEA · TE · #88
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LAC
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
3.1receptions projected vs LAC
Season average 2.7 · Last five 2.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
013462NE1ARI5WSHStatIQ projection 3.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ WSH5
Sep 20, 2026@ @ ARI1
Sep 10, 2026vs vs NE2
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into AJ Barner
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is AJ Barner trending lately?2.6 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: AJ Barner, 3.1 receptions

StatIQ projects AJ Barner for 3.1 receptions against LAC in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: AJ Barner has averaged 2.6 over his last 5 games and 2.7 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See AJ Barner’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LAC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
2.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for AJ Barner vs LAC?

StatIQ projects AJ Barner for 3.1 receptions against LAC in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has AJ Barner performed in receptions recently?

AJ Barner has averaged 2.6 over his last 5 games and 2.7 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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