Chet Holmgren points projection vs the line

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Next game at SAS · Mon, Oct 19, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Points

Oct 20 · at SAS

Projection only

11.7Projection · points

12.5Line

−0.8Gap

Average · last 5 games 17.4

Points by game

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

16.1Average points, last 10 (10 games)Over 12.5 in 8 of 10 · past results, not odds

Mar 21

Mar 23

Mar 25

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 2

Apr 5

Apr 7

Apr 8

Oct 20

Actual · 2027 Actual · 2026 Projection Market lineBars: actual games (2027 in full colour, 2026 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 20 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log

Chet Holmgren points by game
Date	Opponent	PTS
Oct 20	@ SA	14
Apr 8	@ LAC · 2026	30
Apr 7	@ LAL · 2026	15
Apr 5	vs UTAH · 2026	21
Apr 2	vs LAL · 2026	7
Mar 30	vs DET · 2026	13
Mar 29	vs NY · 2026	16
Mar 25	@ BOS · 2026	10
Mar 23	@ PHI · 2026	17
Mar 21	@ WSH · 2026	18

At a glance

Last 5 games: 17.4 a game average, regular season
Season average: 14 a game 2026-27 season
Games logged: 70 regular-season games with a points value
Next game: at SAS Mon, Oct 19, 8:00 PM ET

How this is calculated

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Chet Holmgren’s points in this game: not a range and not advice.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat, shown so the two can be compared.
Average: The mean of Chet Holmgren’s points over the games counted: a historical figure, never a projection.
Actual: Chet Holmgren’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN).

StatIQ projects Chet Holmgren for 11.7 points at SAS. The line is 12.5; the projection is one number, not a range.

Over his last 5 regular-season games Chet Holmgren averaged 17.4 points, and 14 a game in the 2026-27 season.

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