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Detail

Richie Palacios Prop Projections

Tampa Bay Rays · 2B · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Total Bases

Oct 16

Projection only
1.22Projection · total bases
0.5Line · ProphetX
+0.72Gap
Compare prices

No pick logged for Richie Palacios on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Total Bases1.220.50+0.72
Hits0.740.50+0.24
Home Runs0.110.50−0.39
RBIs0.740.50+0.24

Recent games

1.00Average total bases, last 10 (10 games)Over 0.50 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log
Richie Palacios game log
DateOpponentTotal Bases
Oct 15@ CLE · Postseason2
Oct 13vs CLE · Postseason0
Oct 7@ NYY · Postseason0
Oct 5vs NYY · Postseason1
Oct 3vs NYY · Postseason2
Sep 27@ PHI0
Sep 26@ PHI3
Sep 24@ NYY1
Sep 23@ NYY1
Sep 22@ NYY0
Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN
Richie Palacios full game log, last 20 games
DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Oct 15@ CLEL 3-2301100000100.214.214.357.571
Oct 13vs CLEW 3-1100000000000.182.182.273.455
Oct 7@ NYYW 4-3300000000200.200.200.300.500
Oct 5vs NYYW 5-2401000200100.286.286.429.714
Oct 3vs NYYW 1-0301100000000.333.333.6671.000
Sep 27@ PHIL 7-3400000000000.235.330.374.704
Sep 26@ PHIW 12-1402100410100.238.333.378.712
Sep 24@ NYYL 6-4101000010020.234.330.374.704
Sep 23@ NYYL 9-2401000000101.232.326.372.698
Sep 22@ NYYL 2-0300000000100.232.327.373.701
Sep 19vs BOSW 2-1401000100110.234.330.377.707
Sep 17vs ATHW 10-1211100220000.234.331.378.709
Sep 16vs ATHW 4-3100000000000.232.326.375.701
Sep 15vs ATHW 2-1300000000100.233.327.376.703
Sep 13vs HOUW 14-4422001300000.235.330.379.709
Sep 12vs HOUW 3-2201000200001.232.328.368.696
Sep 11vs HOUW 3-1201000010010.230.327.367.694
Sep 9@ ATLW 7-2311000110010.228.324.367.691
Sep 8@ ATLW 7-1411001110210.227.322.367.689
Sep 6@ TEXL 8-6000000000000.227.321.359.679

Context

Next game
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Compare prices

Total Bases · line 0.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

BookOver 0.5Under 0.5
BetMGM−130−105Best
ESPN BET−120−110
ProphetX−114Best–
Shown, never used as our price
BetOnline−123−105
Fliff−130−120
ReBet−129−111

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 8:15 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Offshore. Offshore and unlicensed in the US. It has paid reliably for over two decades and often has the better number, but no US regulator can make it pay you, and its rules let it void bets it decides were priced in error, which is exactly the kind of bet we surface.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Richie Palacios

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, Home Runs and RBIs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Richie Palacios: projection accuracy by market
MarketGradedAverage missLanded within
Hits13––
Total Bases3––

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection
StatIQ’s number for Richie Palacios’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line
The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap
Projection minus the line (+0.72 for total bases). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual
Richie Palacios’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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