StatIQPlayer projections, with the receipts

Chet Holmgren vs bottom-10 defenses

OKC · 2025-26 to 2026-27 · regular season

Chet Holmgren has averaged 16.5 points and 9.8 rebounds per game in 17 games against bottom-10 defenses, vs 16.6 points and 9.0 rebounds in 41 games against everyone else (2025-26 to 2026-27, regular season).

Vs bottom-10 defenses
16.5
points per game · 17 games
Vs everyone else
16.6
points per game · 41 games
Difference
−0.1
per game, bottom 10 minus everyone else

Career and by season

Chet Holmgren per game averages against bottom-10 defenses and everyone else, career and by season
PeriodOpponentsGamesPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKMINFG%FT%TS%eFG%PTS diff vs others
CareerBottom 101716.59.81.80.90.52.228.854.6%77.4%63.9%59.0%−0.1
Everyone else4116.69.01.61.30.62.028.955.1%80.3%65.0%61.0%
2026-27Bottom 10112.017.02.00.01.04.027.955.6%100.0%60.7%55.6%0.0
Everyone else212.05.51.01.00.52.531.033.3%100.0%53.6%38.9%
2025-26Bottom 101616.89.31.81.00.52.128.954.6%76.8%64.0%59.2%0.0
Everyone else3916.89.11.61.30.62.028.856.0%78.9%65.5%61.9%

Every game against bottom-10 defenses

  1. Oct 22, 2026vs DEN · No. 21 defense (prior season's final)12 pts, 17 reb, 2 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 4 blk · 28 min
  2. Apr 5, 2026vs UTA · No. 29 defense (that season, games so far)21 pts, 7 reb, 1 ast · 4 3PM · 0 stl, 4 blk · 22 min
  3. Mar 21, 2026at WAS · No. 29 defense (that season, games so far)18 pts, 10 reb, 0 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 2 blk · 27 min
  4. Mar 18, 2026at BKN · No. 27 defense (that season, games so far)11 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 1 blk · 22 min
  5. Mar 3, 2026at CHI · No. 23 defense (that season, games so far)12 pts, 11 reb, 2 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 2 blk · 26 min
  6. Feb 27, 2026vs DEN · No. 21 defense (that season, games so far)15 pts, 21 reb, 3 ast · 1 3PM · 1 stl, 3 blk · 38 min
  7. Feb 20, 2026vs BKN · No. 25 defense (that season, games so far)15 pts, 7 reb, 2 ast · 2 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 26 min
  8. Feb 12, 2026vs MIL · No. 22 defense (that season, games so far)16 pts, 13 reb, 4 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 2 blk · 27 min
  9. Feb 9, 2026at LAL · No. 22 defense (that season, games so far)13 pts, 10 reb, 2 ast · 1 3PM · 1 stl, 2 blk · 31 min
  10. Feb 1, 2026at DEN · No. 24 defense (that season, games so far)14 pts, 4 reb, 1 ast · 1 3PM · 0 stl, 3 blk · 28 min
  11. Jan 27, 2026vs NOP · No. 27 defense (that season, games so far)20 pts, 14 reb, 3 ast · 1 3PM · 0 stl, 5 blk · 33 min
  12. Jan 21, 2026at MIL · No. 21 defense (that season, games so far)10 pts, 7 reb, 2 ast · 1 3PM · 1 stl, 1 blk · 32 min
  13. Jan 7, 2026vs UTA · No. 30 defense (that season, games so far)23 pts, 12 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 3 blk · 40 min
  14. Jan 5, 2026vs CHA · No. 22 defense (that season, games so far)15 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast · 1 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 26 min
  15. Dec 18, 2025vs LAC · No. 26 defense (that season, games so far)22 pts, 7 reb, 2 ast · 3 3PM · 1 stl, 0 blk · 31 min
  16. Dec 7, 2025at UTA · No. 28 defense (that season, games so far)25 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast · 1 3PM · 1 stl, 2 blk · 23 min
  17. Nov 30, 2025at POR · No. 21 defense (that season, games so far)19 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 3 blk · 30 min

What counts: a team's defensive rating is 100 × the points its opponents scored ÷ possessions, with possessions = FGA + 0.44*FTA - OREB + TOV, mean of both teams. A game's rank uses only games played before that date. Until every team has 15 games, the prior season's final ranks are used (3 games here, 55 games ranked on that season's games so far). Games are regular season; games he did not play are not counted. 14 games where the opponent's rank could not be determined are left out of both columns. TS% = PTS ÷ (2 × (FGA + 0.44 × FTA)); eFG% = (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM) ÷ FGA; both from totals for each row. Past results, not a projection.