Compare projections

Touchdowns and turnovers are folded in as expected value (past per-game rates, not a call on who scores this week), so weigh the result as a tilt, not a final start/sit call.

Reference values (a projection for an earlier week) are shown muted and never counted in the comparison; averages are past games, not projections. Composed from StatIQ’s projected yards, receptions and passing touchdowns, plus expected-value rushing and receiving touchdowns, interceptions and fumbles (each of those last few is the player’s own historical per-game rate, not a prediction that he’ll score). Because a real week is 0 or 6, they carry wide uncertainty, shown as the band.

The Last 5 games and Season rows add up the projection feed’s per-stat averages for this season under the chosen rules, so they cover only the stats the feed projects.