StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Travis Kelce Projections

KC · TE · #87
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LV
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
4.4receptions projected vs LV
Season average 4.7 · Last five 4.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
0358103DEN9IND2MIAStatIQ projection 4.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ MIA2
Sep 21, 2026vs vs IND9
Sep 15, 2026vs vs DEN3
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Travis Kelce
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Travis Kelce done against LV?3 per game2 games vs LVExplore this question

Projection context: Travis Kelce, 4.4 receptions

StatIQ projects Travis Kelce for 4.4 receptions against LV in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Travis Kelce has averaged 4.4 over his last 5 games, 4.7 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 2 games against LV. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Travis Kelce’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LV
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
4.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Travis Kelce vs LV?

StatIQ projects Travis Kelce for 4.4 receptions against LV in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Travis Kelce performed in receptions recently?

Travis Kelce has averaged 4.4 over his last 5 games, 4.7 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 2 games against LV. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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