StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Noah Gray Projections

KC · TE · #83
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LV
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
18.2receiving yards projected vs LV
Season average 14.7 · Last five 15.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
0112233445DEN0IND39MIAStatIQ projection 18.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ MIA39
Sep 21, 2026vs vs IND0
Sep 15, 2026vs vs DEN5
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Noah Gray
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Noah Gray done against LV?29 yards per game2 games vs LVExplore this question

Projection context: Noah Gray, 18.2 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Noah Gray for 18.2 receiving yards against LV in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Noah Gray has averaged 15.2 yards over his last 5 games, 14.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 29 yards across 2 games against LV. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Noah Gray’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LV
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
15.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Noah Gray vs LV?

StatIQ projects Noah Gray for 18.2 yards receiving yards against LV in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Noah Gray performed in receiving yards recently?

Noah Gray has averaged 15.2 yards over his last 5 games, 14.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 29 yards across 2 games against LV. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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