StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Kyler Murray Projections

MIN · QB · #1
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs MIA
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS TDPASS YDS
0.7passing touchdowns projected vs MIA
Season average 0.5 · Last five 0.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
001110GB1TBStatIQ projection 0.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 27, 2026@ @ TB1
Sep 13, 2026vs vs GB0
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Kyler Murray
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Kyler Murray trending lately?0.8 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Kyler Murray, 0.7 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Kyler Murray for 0.7 passing touchdowns against MIA in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Kyler Murray has averaged 0.8 over his last 5 games and 0.5 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Kyler Murray’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
MIA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
0.8 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Kyler Murray vs MIA?

StatIQ projects Kyler Murray for 0.7 passing touchdowns against MIA in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Kyler Murray performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Kyler Murray has averaged 0.8 over his last 5 games and 0.5 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of MIA vs MIN
the whole game
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