StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Josh Downs Projections

IND · WR · #2
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
vs WAS
Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET · Week 4
Compare
4.1receptions projected vs WAS
Season average 4.7 · Last five 4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
024682BAL7KC5HOUStatIQ projection 4.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs HOU5
Sep 21, 2026@ @ KC7
Sep 13, 2026vs vs BAL2
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Josh Downs
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Josh Downs trending lately?4 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Josh Downs, 4.1 receptions

StatIQ projects Josh Downs for 4.1 receptions against WAS in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Josh Downs has averaged 4 over his last 5 games and 4.7 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Josh Downs’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
WAS · neutral site
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
Recent form
4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Josh Downs vs WAS?

StatIQ projects Josh Downs for 4.1 receptions against WAS in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Josh Downs performed in receptions recently?

Josh Downs has averaged 4 over his last 5 games and 4.7 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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