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Marcus Mariota Projections

WAS · QB · #8
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
vs IND
Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
185.7passing yards projected vs IND
Season average 147 · Last five 126
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
052104156208111DAL183SEAStatIQ projection 185.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs SEA183
Sep 20, 2026@ @ DAL111
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Marcus Mariota
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Marcus Mariota trending lately?126 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Marcus Mariota, 185.7 passing yards

StatIQ projects Marcus Mariota for 185.7 passing yards against IND in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Marcus Mariota has averaged 126 yards over his last 5 games and 147 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Marcus Mariota’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
IND · neutral site
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
Recent form
126 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Marcus Mariota vs IND?

StatIQ projects Marcus Mariota for 185.7 yards passing yards against IND in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Marcus Mariota performed in passing yards recently?

Marcus Mariota has averaged 126 yards over his last 5 games and 147 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of IND vs WAS
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