StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jordan Addison Projections

MIN · WR · #3
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs MIA
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
3.2receptions projected vs MIA
Season average 2.3 · Last five 1.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
013460GB2CHI5TBStatIQ projection 3.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ TB5
Sep 20, 2026@ @ CHI2
Sep 13, 2026vs vs GB0
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jordan Addison
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jordan Addison trending lately?1.6 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jordan Addison, 3.2 receptions

StatIQ projects Jordan Addison for 3.2 receptions against MIA in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jordan Addison has averaged 1.6 over his last 5 games and 2.3 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jordan Addison’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
MIA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
1.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Jordan Addison vs MIA?

StatIQ projects Jordan Addison for 3.2 receptions against MIA in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jordan Addison performed in receptions recently?

Jordan Addison has averaged 1.6 over his last 5 games and 2.3 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of MIA vs MIN
the whole game
See the full NFL slate