| Date | Opponent | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs vs BAL | 23 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs vs WSH | 43 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | @ @ NYG | 6 |
StatIQ projects Jake Ferguson for 26.4 receiving yards against HOU in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jake Ferguson has averaged 16.6 yards over his last 5 games and 24 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
StatIQ projects Jake Ferguson for 26.4 yards receiving yards against HOU in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Jake Ferguson has averaged 16.6 yards over his last 5 games and 24 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.