StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jahmyr Gibbs Projections

DET · RB · #0
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CAR
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
4.8receptions projected vs CAR
Season average 6 · Last five 4.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
024685NO6BUF7NYJStatIQ projection 4.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs NYJ7
Sep 18, 2026@ @ BUF6
Sep 13, 2026vs vs NO5
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jahmyr Gibbs
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jahmyr Gibbs trending lately?4.6 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jahmyr Gibbs, 4.8 receptions

StatIQ projects Jahmyr Gibbs for 4.8 receptions against CAR in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jahmyr Gibbs has averaged 4.6 over his last 5 games and 6 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jahmyr Gibbs’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CAR
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
4.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Jahmyr Gibbs vs CAR?

StatIQ projects Jahmyr Gibbs for 4.8 receptions against CAR in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jahmyr Gibbs performed in receptions recently?

Jahmyr Gibbs has averaged 4.6 over his last 5 games and 6 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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