StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Efton Chism III Projections

NE · WR · #86
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 9, 3:13 AM
vs LV
Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
1.8receptions projected vs LV
Season average 1.3 · Last five 1.4
Updated Oct 8
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
011221PIT1JAX2BUFStatIQ projection 1.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Oct 4, 2026@ @ BUF2
Sep 27, 2026@ @ JAX1
Sep 20, 2026vs vs PIT1
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Efton Chism III
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Efton Chism III trending lately?1.4 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Efton Chism III, 1.8 receptions

StatIQ projects Efton Chism III for 1.8 receptions against LV in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Efton Chism III has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games and 1.3 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 532 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Efton Chism III’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
532 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LV
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 9, 3:13 AM
Recent form
1.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Efton Chism III vs LV?

StatIQ projects Efton Chism III for 1.8 receptions against LV in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Efton Chism III performed in receptions recently?

Efton Chism III has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games and 1.3 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 532 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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