StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Darren Waller Projections

CAR · TE · #88
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DET
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
38.4receiving yards projected vs DET
Season average 37.3 · Last five 30.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01429435728CHI33ATL51CLEStatIQ projection 38.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ CLE51
Sep 20, 2026@ @ ATL33
Sep 13, 2026vs vs CHI28
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Darren Waller
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Darren Waller trending lately?30.4 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Darren Waller, 38.4 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Darren Waller for 38.4 receiving yards against DET in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Darren Waller has averaged 30.4 yards over his last 5 games and 37.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Darren Waller’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DET
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
30.4 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Darren Waller vs DET?

StatIQ projects Darren Waller for 38.4 yards receiving yards against DET in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Darren Waller performed in receiving yards recently?

Darren Waller has averaged 30.4 yards over his last 5 games and 37.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CAR vs DET
the whole game
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