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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points projection vs the line

OKC · G · NBA

Next game at SAS · Mon, Oct 19, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Points

Oct 20 · at SAS

Projection only
24.6Projection · points
29.5Line
−4.9Gap

Average · last 5 games 25.0

Points by game

28.2Average points, last 10 (10 games)Over 29.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual · 2027 Actual · 2026 Projection Market lineBars: actual games (2027 in full colour, 2026 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 20 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points by game
DateOpponentPTS
Oct 20@ SA32
Apr 8@ LAC · 202620
Apr 7@ LAL · 202625
Apr 5vs UTAH · 202620
Apr 2vs LAL · 202628
Mar 30vs DET · 202647
Mar 29vs NY · 202630
Mar 27vs CHI · 202625
Mar 25@ BOS · 202633
Mar 23@ PHI · 202622

At a glance

Last 5 games
25 a game average, regular season
Season average
32 a game 2026-27 season
Games logged
69 regular-season games with a points value
Next game
at SAS Mon, Oct 19, 8:00 PM ET

How this is calculated

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s points in this game: not a range and not advice.
Line
The market’s number for the same stat, shown so the two can be compared.
Average
The mean of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s points over the games counted: a historical figure, never a projection.
Actual
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN).

StatIQ projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for 24.6 points at SAS. The line is 29.5; the projection is one number, not a range.

Over his last 5 regular-season games Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 25 points, and 32 a game in the 2026-27 season.

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