StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Puka Nacua Projections

LA · WR · #12
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs PHI
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
6.7receptions projected vs PHI
Season average 5 · Last five 8.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
024685SFStatIQ projection 6.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 11, 2026vs vs SF5
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Puka Nacua
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Puka Nacua done against PHI?11 per game1 game vs PHIExplore this question

Projection context: Puka Nacua, 6.7 receptions

StatIQ projects Puka Nacua for 6.7 receptions against PHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Puka Nacua has averaged 8.2 over his last 5 games, 5 per game this season (2026), and 11 across 1 game against PHI. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Puka Nacua’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
PHI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
8.2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Puka Nacua vs PHI?

StatIQ projects Puka Nacua for 6.7 receptions against PHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Puka Nacua performed in receptions recently?

Puka Nacua has averaged 8.2 over his last 5 games, 5 per game this season (2026), and 11 across 1 game against PHI. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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