StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Pat Freiermuth Projections

PIT · TE · #88
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CLE
Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
32.7receiving yards projected vs CLE
Season average 36 · Last five 44.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01326395246ATL32NE30CINStatIQ projection 32.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs CIN30
Sep 20, 2026@ @ NE32
Sep 13, 2026vs vs ATL46
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Pat Freiermuth
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Pat Freiermuth done against CLE?37 yards per game2 games vs CLEExplore this question

Projection context: Pat Freiermuth, 32.7 receiving yards

StatIQ projected Pat Freiermuth for 32.7 receiving yards against CLE in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — this matchup has already been played, so the game log above already carries the actual result.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Pat Freiermuth has averaged 44.4 yards over his last 5 games, 36 yards per game this season (2026), and 37 yards across 2 games against CLE. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Pat Freiermuth’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CLE
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
44.4 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Pat Freiermuth vs CLE?

StatIQ projected Pat Freiermuth for 32.7 yards receiving yards against CLE in Week 4. That game has already been played, so the game log on the page shows the actual result. The projection is a single number, not a range or a guaranteed outcome.

How has Pat Freiermuth performed in receiving yards recently?

Pat Freiermuth has averaged 44.4 yards over his last 5 games, 36 yards per game this season (2026), and 37 yards across 2 games against CLE. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CLE vs PIT
the whole game
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