StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Michael Wilson Projections

ARI · WR · #14
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs NYG
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
4.8receptions projected vs NYG
Season average 6 · Last five 5.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
0369125LAC2SEA11SFStatIQ projection 4.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ SF11
Sep 20, 2026vs vs SEA2
Sep 13, 2026@ @ LAC5
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Michael Wilson
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Michael Wilson trending lately?5.6 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Michael Wilson, 4.8 receptions

StatIQ projects Michael Wilson for 4.8 receptions against NYG in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Michael Wilson has averaged 5.6 over his last 5 games and 6 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Michael Wilson’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NYG
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
5.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Michael Wilson vs NYG?

StatIQ projects Michael Wilson for 4.8 receptions against NYG in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Michael Wilson performed in receptions recently?

Michael Wilson has averaged 5.6 over his last 5 games and 6 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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