StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Isaiah Likely Projections

NYG · TE · #9
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs ARI
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
40.1receiving yards projected vs ARI
Season average 41.3 · Last five 36.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
02244668778DAL33LAR13TENStatIQ projection 40.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs TEN13
Sep 22, 2026@ @ LAR33
Sep 14, 2026vs vs DAL78
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Isaiah Likely
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Isaiah Likely trending lately?36.6 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Isaiah Likely, 40.1 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Isaiah Likely for 40.1 receiving yards against ARI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Isaiah Likely has averaged 36.6 yards over his last 5 games and 41.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Isaiah Likely’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
ARI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
36.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Isaiah Likely vs ARI?

StatIQ projects Isaiah Likely for 40.1 yards receiving yards against ARI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Isaiah Likely performed in receiving yards recently?

Isaiah Likely has averaged 36.6 yards over his last 5 games and 41.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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