StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Michael Penix Jr. Projections

ATL · QB · #9
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 3, 2:13 AM
vs NO
Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
231.7passing yards projected vs NO
Season average 256 · Last five 214
Updated Oct 2
Typically within 63.4 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
072143215287256GBStatIQ projection 231.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 25, 2026@ @ GB256
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Michael Penix Jr.
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Michael Penix Jr. trending lately?214 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Michael Penix Jr., 231.7 passing yards

StatIQ projects Michael Penix Jr. for 231.7 passing yards against NO in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Michael Penix Jr. has averaged 214 yards over his last 5 games and 256 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 90 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 63.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Michael Penix Jr.’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
63.4yards
average projection miss
45 within
90 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NO
Kickoff
Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 3, 2:13 AM
Recent form
214 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Michael Penix Jr. vs NO?

StatIQ projects Michael Penix Jr. for 231.7 yards passing yards against NO in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Michael Penix Jr. performed in passing yards recently?

Michael Penix Jr. has averaged 214 yards over his last 5 games and 256 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 90 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 63.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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