| Date | Opponent | PASS YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | @ @ GB | 256 |
StatIQ projects Michael Penix Jr. for 231.7 passing yards against NO in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Michael Penix Jr. has averaged 214 yards over his last 5 games and 256 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 90 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 63.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
StatIQ projects Michael Penix Jr. for 231.7 yards passing yards against NO in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Michael Penix Jr. has averaged 214 yards over his last 5 games and 256 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 90 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 63.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.