StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Kyle Pitts Projections

ATL · TE · #8
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 3, 2:13 AM
vs NO
Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
3.4receptions projected vs NO
Season average 0.7 · Last five 2
Updated Oct 2
Typically within 1.6 of the result
Recent receptions
012340PIT1CAR1GBStatIQ projection 3.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 25, 2026@ @ GB1
Sep 20, 2026vs vs CAR1
Sep 13, 2026@ @ PIT0
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Kyle Pitts
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Kyle Pitts done against NO?4 per game2 games vs NOExplore this question

Projection context: Kyle Pitts, 3.4 receptions

StatIQ projects Kyle Pitts for 3.4 receptions against NO in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Kyle Pitts has averaged 2 over his last 5 games, 0.7 per game this season (2026), and 4 across 2 games against NO. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 490 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.6 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Kyle Pitts’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.6
average projection miss
1.5 within
490 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NO
Kickoff
Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 3, 2:13 AM
Recent form
2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Kyle Pitts vs NO?

StatIQ projects Kyle Pitts for 3.4 receptions against NO in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Kyle Pitts performed in receptions recently?

Kyle Pitts has averaged 2 over his last 5 games, 0.7 per game this season (2026), and 4 across 2 games against NO. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 490 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.6 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of ATL vs NO
the whole game
See the full NFL slate