StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jaylen Warren Projections

PIT · RB · #30
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CLE
Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
58.7rushing yards projected vs CLE
Season average 72 · Last five 69.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
0367110714246ATL43NE127CINStatIQ projection 58.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs CIN127
Sep 20, 2026@ @ NE43
Sep 13, 2026vs vs ATL46
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jaylen Warren
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Jaylen Warren done against CLE?58 yards per game2 games vs CLEExplore this question

Projection context: Jaylen Warren, 58.7 rushing yards

StatIQ projected Jaylen Warren for 58.7 rushing yards against CLE in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — this matchup has already been played, so the game log above already carries the actual result.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jaylen Warren has averaged 69.2 yards over his last 5 games, 72 yards per game this season (2026), and 58 yards across 2 games against CLE. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jaylen Warren’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CLE
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
69.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Jaylen Warren vs CLE?

StatIQ projected Jaylen Warren for 58.7 yards rushing yards against CLE in Week 4. That game has already been played, so the game log on the page shows the actual result. The projection is a single number, not a range or a guaranteed outcome.

How has Jaylen Warren performed in rushing yards recently?

Jaylen Warren has averaged 69.2 yards over his last 5 games, 72 yards per game this season (2026), and 58 yards across 2 games against CLE. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CLE vs PIT
the whole game
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