StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jalen Hurts Projections

PHI · QB · #1
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LA
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
1.2passing touchdowns projected vs LA
Season average 1.7 · Last five 1.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
012333WSH2TEN0CHIStatIQ projection 1.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 29, 2026@ @ CHI0
Sep 20, 2026@ @ TEN2
Sep 13, 2026vs vs WSH3
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jalen Hurts
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jalen Hurts trending lately?1.6 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jalen Hurts, 1.2 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Jalen Hurts for 1.2 passing touchdowns against LA in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jalen Hurts has averaged 1.6 over his last 5 games and 1.7 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jalen Hurts’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
1.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Jalen Hurts vs LA?

StatIQ projects Jalen Hurts for 1.2 passing touchdowns against LA in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jalen Hurts performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Jalen Hurts has averaged 1.6 over his last 5 games and 1.7 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of LA vs PHI
the whole game
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