StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Ian Thomas Projections

LV · TE · #80
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 9, 7:13 PM
vs NE
Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
REC
1.9receptions projected vs NE
Season average 1.5 · Last five 2
Updated Oct 9
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
011220MIA1LAC0NO2KCStatIQ projection 1.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Oct 4, 2026vs vs KC2
Sep 27, 2026@ @ NO0
Sep 20, 2026@ @ LAC1
Sep 13, 2026vs vs MIA0
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Ian Thomas
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Ian Thomas done against NE?0 per game1 game vs NEExplore this question

Projection context: Ian Thomas, 1.9 receptions

StatIQ projects Ian Thomas for 1.9 receptions against NE in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Ian Thomas has averaged 2 over his last 5 games, 1.5 per game this season (2026), and 0 across 1 game against NE. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 537 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Ian Thomas’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
537 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NE
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 9, 7:13 PM
Recent form
2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Ian Thomas vs NE?

StatIQ projects Ian Thomas for 1.9 receptions against NE in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Ian Thomas performed in receptions recently?

Ian Thomas has averaged 2 over his last 5 games, 1.5 per game this season (2026), and 0 across 1 game against NE. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 537 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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