StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

John Peck

Detroit Tigers · SS · #18

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HITS👀 Watching
Our projection0.53
Chance to hit48%
Best pricedraftkings +110
Bet at draftkings

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 54/580%avg 0.2
Last 105/1050%avg 0.5
Last 208/1650%avg 0.6
Season8/1650%avg 0.6
Home1/520%avg 0.8
Away7/1164%avg 0.5

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.31
Chance to hit77%
Best pricebetparx -335

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 106/1060%avg 0.4
Last 2011/1669%avg 0.4
Season11/1669%avg 0.4
Home2/540%avg 0.6
Away9/1182%avg 0.4

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection0.55
Chance to hit50%
Best priceespnbet +100
Bet at espnbet

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 54/580%avg 0.2
Last 105/1050%avg 0.5
Last 208/1650%avg 0.7
Season8/1650%avg 0.7
Home1/520%avg 0.8
Away7/1164%avg 0.6

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0
Chance to hit95%
Best priceprophetx -2600
Bet at prophetx

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 1010/10100%avg 0
Last 2016/16100%avg 0
Season16/16100%avg 0
Home5/5100%avg 0
Away11/11100%avg 0

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

2.9AB / game
0.2R / game
0.5H / game
02B / game
03B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 20@ CHWL 8-1300000010201.196.323.216.538
Sep 19@ CHWL 3-1300000010100.208.328.229.557
Sep 18@ CHWW 11-8000000000000.222.333.244.578
Sep 17@ CHWL 3-1401000000100.222.333.244.578
Sep 16@ TORL 5-1400000000100.220.340.244.584
Sep 15@ TORW 10-1301000110100.243.370.270.640
Sep 13vs COLW 8-1311000110010.235.357.265.622
Sep 12vs COLW 11-7401000100100.226.342.258.600
Sep 11vs COLW 6-2200000020010.222.364.259.623
Sep 9vs MINW 7-2311000110110.240.345.280.625
Sep 7vs MINW 5-4301000001110.227.320.273.593
Sep 6@ CLEL 3-2 F/10400000000200.211.286.263.549
Sep 5@ CLEW 6-0302000010000.267.353.333.686
Sep 4@ CLEL 4-3 F/10300000000200.167.231.250.481
Sep 2@ MINW 11-6 F/12512100301100.222.300.333.633
Sep 1@ MINL 15-2400000000000.000.000.000.000

Game logs and standings via ESPN.