StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Walker Jenkins

Minnesota Twins · CF · #11

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0.14
Chance to hit92%
Best priceprophetx -960
Bet at prophetx

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 53/560%avg 0.4
Last 108/1080%avg 0.2
Last 2016/1984%avg 0.2
Season16/1984%avg 0.2
Home9/1090%avg 0.1
Away7/978%avg 0.2

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.36
Chance to hit71%
Best pricebetmgm -250

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 53/560%avg 0.6
Last 108/1080%avg 0.3
Last 2014/1974%avg 0.4
Season14/1974%avg 0.4
Home8/1080%avg 0.3
Away6/967%avg 0.6

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HITS🔒 StatIQ play
Our projection0.66
Chance to hit38%
Best pricedraftkings +173
Bet at draftkings

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 51/520%avg 1.8
Last 106/1060%avg 0.9
Last 2011/1958%avg 0.7
Season11/1958%avg 0.7
Home7/1070%avg 0.3
Away4/944%avg 1.1

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 1.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection1.16
Chance to hit63%
Best pricenovig -163

Cleared under 1.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 52/540%avg 3
Last 107/1070%avg 1.5
Last 2013/1968%avg 1.3
Season13/1968%avg 1.3
Home8/1080%avg 0.7
Away5/956%avg 1.9

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

3.3AB / game
0.6R / game
0.9H / game
02B / game
03B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 20@ LAAW 8-0511000000000.210.300.387.687
Sep 20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11412000010000.211.308.404.711
Sep 19@ LAAW 3-0413001100000.189.283.396.680
Sep 18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10423001200100.143.250.306.556
Sep 16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13010000000000.089.212.200.412
Sep 14vs NYYL 8-3400000000100.089.212.200.412
Sep 13vs CLEL 9-2400000000300.098.229.220.449
Sep 12vs CLEL 5-2300000000100.108.250.243.493
Sep 9@ DETL 7-2200000010200.118.268.265.533
Sep 8@ DETW 3-2300000000100.125.263.281.544
Sep 7@ DETL 5-4301100201000.138.286.310.596
Sep 6@ CHWL 10-1300000000200.115.258.269.527
Sep 4@ CHWL 4-1300000010200.130.286.304.590
Sep 2vs DETL 11-6 F/12400000010301.150.292.350.642
Sep 1vs DETW 15-2420000010000.188.316.438.753
Aug 31vs DETW 11-1321001210000.250.357.583.940
Aug 30vs CHWW 5-1300000000000.222.300.333.633
Aug 29vs CHWL 3-2301100100010.333.429.500.929
Aug 29vs CHWL 7-4301000010100.333.500.333.833

Game logs and standings via ESPN.