StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jonah Cox

San Francisco Giants · CF · #53

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0.03
Chance to hit95%
Best pricenovig -1941

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 1010/10100%avg 0
Last 2019/2095%avg 0.1
Season48/5292%avg 0.1
Home20/2195%avg 0
Away28/3190%avg 0.1

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.31
Chance to hit75%
Best pricebetmgm -300

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 52/540%avg 0.6
Last 105/1050%avg 0.5
Last 2013/2065%avg 0.4
Season39/5275%avg 0.3
Home17/2181%avg 0.2
Away22/3171%avg 0.3

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

OVER 0.5 BATTER_HITS👀 Watching
Our projection0.9
Chance to hit66%
Best priceprophetx -194
Bet at prophetx

Cleared over 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 53/560%avg 1
Last 108/1080%avg 1.1
Last 2015/2075%avg 1.1
Season25/5248%avg 0.7
Home12/2157%avg 0.7
Away13/3142%avg 0.7

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 1.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection1.03
Chance to hit65%
Best priceespnbet -180
Bet at espnbet

Cleared under 1.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 54/580%avg 1
Last 108/1080%avg 1.1
Last 2015/2075%avg 1.3
Season39/5275%avg 1
Home16/2176%avg 1
Away23/3174%avg 1.1

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

3.8AB / game
0.7R / game
1.1H / game
02B / game
03B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 20@ LADL 3-1310000010210.281.324.422.745
Sep 20@ LADL 10-4300000100300.288.326.432.758
Sep 19@ LADL 8-2301000100200.295.333.443.776
Sep 16@ STLW 6-5 F/10413000110121.294.333.445.779
Sep 15@ STLW 10-3421000000210.278.314.435.749
Sep 14@ STLL 2-1401000100201.279.316.441.758
Sep 13vs SDL 6-4501000000300.280.319.449.767
Sep 12vs SDL 7-6401000000000.284.324.461.785
Sep 12vs SDL 7-5422000010110.286.327.469.796
Sep 9vs STLW 7-6411000100101.277.313.468.781
Sep 9vs STLW 2-1300000000000.278.316.478.794
Sep 8vs STLW 5-4 F/11401000000200.287.326.494.820
Sep 6@ NYML 4-2411000000100.289.330.506.836
Sep 5@ NYMW 9-5511000000100.291.333.519.852
Sep 4@ NYML 10-6222000000000.297.342.541.882
Sep 3@ PITL 5-2310000010110.278.325.528.852
Sep 2@ PITW 5-4 F/10100000000000.290.329.551.879
Sep 1@ PITL 13-12512100110200.294.333.559.892
Aug 31@ ATLW 7-3512001200100.286.318.556.874
Aug 30vs ARIW 7-2111000010030.276.311.517.829
Aug 29vs ARIL 7-1100000000100.263.288.509.797
Aug 29vs ARIL 10-6200000000100.268.293.518.811
Aug 28vs ARIW 6-1312000110010.278.304.537.841
Aug 26vs CINL 10-9321001210100.255.269.529.799
Aug 26vs CINW 3-1100000000100.250.250.479.729

Game logs and standings via ESPN.