StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Ben Ross

Minnesota Twins · SS · #1

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.12
Chance to hit90%
Best price

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 54/580%avg 0.2
Last 107/888%avg 0.1
Last 207/888%avg 0.1
Season7/888%avg 0.1
Home3/3100%avg 0
Away4/580%avg 0.2

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HITS🔒 StatIQ play
Our projection0.38
Chance to hit54%
Best pricebetparx -109

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 52/540%avg 0.6
Last 105/863%avg 0.4
Last 205/863%avg 0.4
Season5/863%avg 0.4
Home2/367%avg 0.3
Away3/560%avg 0.4

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection0.62
Chance to hit53%
Best priceprophetx -127
Bet at prophetx

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 52/540%avg 1
Last 105/863%avg 0.6
Last 205/863%avg 0.6
Season5/863%avg 0.6
Home2/367%avg 0.7
Away3/560%avg 0.6

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0
Chance to hit95%
Best price

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 108/8100%avg 0
Last 208/8100%avg 0
Season8/8100%avg 0
Home3/3100%avg 0
Away5/5100%avg 0

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

2.4AB / game
0.5R / game
0.4H / game
0.32B / game
03B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 20@ LAAW 8-0411000100310.158.158.263.421
Sep 20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11110000000000.133.133.267.400
Sep 19@ LAAW 3-0400000000300.143.143.286.429
Sep 18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10411100000200.200.200.400.600
Sep 16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13201100000000.167.167.333.500
Sep 6@ CHWL 10-1100000000100.000.000.000.000
Sep 2vs DETL 11-6 F/12210000000100.000.000.000.000
Sep 1vs DETW 15-2100000000100.000.000.000.000

Game logs and standings via ESPN.