StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Sean Keys

Toronto Blue Jays · DH · #20

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HITS👀 Watching
Our projection0.44
Chance to hit46%
Best priceespnbet +120
Bet at espnbet

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 53/560%avg 0.4
Last 106/1060%avg 0.4
Last 2011/1958%avg 0.5
Season11/1958%avg 0.5
Home5/771%avg 0.3
Away6/1250%avg 0.7

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.36
Chance to hit73%
Best pricebetparx -245

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 53/560%avg 0.4
Last 107/1070%avg 0.3
Last 2014/1974%avg 0.4
Season14/1974%avg 0.4
Home6/786%avg 0.4
Away8/1267%avg 0.4

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 1.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection0.76
Chance to hit69%
Best pricehardrockbet -240
Bet at hardrockbet

Cleared under 1.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 53/560%avg 1.2
Last 108/1080%avg 0.8
Last 2014/1974%avg 0.9
Season14/1974%avg 0.9
Home6/786%avg 0.7
Away8/1267%avg 1.1

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0.08
Chance to hit90%
Best priceespnbet -1000
Bet at espnbet

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 54/580%avg 0.2
Last 109/1090%avg 0.1
Last 2017/1989%avg 0.1
Season17/1989%avg 0.1
Home6/786%avg 0.1
Away11/1292%avg 0.1

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

1.6AB / game
0.2R / game
0.4H / game
0.12B / game
03B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 20@ TEXW 7-2201100111000.208.269.375.644
Sep 19@ TEXL 7-1100000000000.196.229.348.577
Sep 11vs BALL 7-4100000000100.200.234.356.590
Sep 6@ KCL 6-1200000000200.205.239.364.603
Sep 5@ KCW 9-2111001100000.214.250.381.631
Sep 3@ CLEW 6-3401000110200.195.233.293.525
Sep 2@ CLEW 11-0111000000000.189.211.297.508
Jul 22vs TBL 4-2200000000000.167.189.278.467
Jul 19vs CHWL 3-0200000000100.176.200.294.494
Jul 17vs CHWL 12-4000000010000.188.212.313.525
Jul 12@ SDL 5-4300000000100.188.188.313.500
Jul 8@ SFW 9-3422000200100.207.207.345.552
Jul 7@ SFL 10-1400000000300.160.160.320.480
Jul 5@ SEAL 4-0200000000200.190.190.381.571
Jul 4@ SEAL 11-0300000000000.211.211.421.632
Jul 4@ SEAW 2-0412100000000.250.250.500.750
Jul 1vs NYMW 9-3411001300200.167.167.417.583
Jun 30vs NYML 3-0400000000200.125.125.125.250
Jun 27vs TEXL 7-4411000000100.250.250.250.500

Game logs and standings via ESPN.