StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Emmanuel Rodriguez

Minnesota Twins · CF · #21

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.44
Chance to hit72%
Best pricebetparx -250

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 106/967%avg 0.4
Last 206/967%avg 0.4
Season6/967%avg 0.4
Home2/540%avg 0.8
Away4/4100%avg 0

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0.11
Chance to hit91%
Best pricenovig -900

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 108/989%avg 0.1
Last 208/989%avg 0.1
Season8/989%avg 0.1
Home4/580%avg 0.2
Away4/4100%avg 0

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

OVER 0.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection1.44
Chance to hit57%
Best priceprophetx -140
Bet at prophetx

Cleared over 0.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 51/520%avg 0.4
Last 105/956%avg 1.4
Last 205/956%avg 1.4
Season5/956%avg 1.4
Home4/580%avg 2.2
Away1/425%avg 0.5

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HITS👀 Watching
Our projection0.67
Chance to hit45%
Best priceespnbet +125
Bet at espnbet

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 54/580%avg 0.2
Last 104/944%avg 0.7
Last 204/944%avg 0.7
Season4/944%avg 0.7
Home1/520%avg 1
Away3/475%avg 0.3

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

3.7AB / game
0.2R / game
0.7H / game
0.22B / game
0.13B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 20@ LAAW 8-0411100000000.182.206.394.600
Sep 20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11200000000100.172.200.379.579
Sep 19@ LAAW 3-0400000000300.185.214.407.622
Sep 18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10400000000300.217.250.478.728
Sep 16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13400000010100.263.300.579.879
Sep 15vs NYYL 8-1302100100000.333.333.7331.067
Sep 14vs NYYL 8-3401010200200.250.250.667.917
Sep 13vs CLEL 9-2401000000200.250.250.625.875
Sep 12vs CLEW 4-3411001100000.250.2501.0001.250

Game logs and standings via ESPN.