StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Rece Hinds

Baltimore Orioles · RF · #62

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.14
Chance to hit82%
Best pricebetparx -360

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 109/1090%avg 0.1
Last 2016/2080%avg 0.3
Season19/2383%avg 0.3
Home11/1292%avg 0.1
Away8/1173%avg 0.5

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0
Chance to hit95%
Best pricebetparx -1667

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 1010/10100%avg 0
Last 2020/20100%avg 0
Season23/23100%avg 0
Home12/12100%avg 0
Away11/11100%avg 0

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HITS👀 Watching
Our projection0.36
Chance to hit54%
Best priceespnbet -120
Bet at espnbet

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 53/560%avg 0.4
Last 106/1060%avg 0.5
Last 2012/2060%avg 0.5
Season15/2365%avg 0.4
Home8/1267%avg 0.4
Away7/1164%avg 0.4

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 1 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection0.52
Chance to hit60%
Best price

Cleared under 1 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 53/560%avg 0.6
Last 106/1060%avg 0.7
Last 2012/2060%avg 0.7
Season15/2365%avg 0.6
Home8/1267%avg 0.7
Away7/1164%avg 0.5

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

2AB / game
0R / game
0.5H / game
0.22B / game
03B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 19vs MILL 1-0301100010100.164.238.255.493
Sep 18vs MILL 6-5 F/10100000000000.154.220.231.451
Sep 16@ NYMW 7-1401000000100.157.224.235.459
Sep 15@ NYMW 7-5 F/11300000000200.149.222.234.456
Sep 13@ TORL 8-1000000010000.159.235.250.485
Sep 12@ TORL 7-3100000000000.159.220.250.470
Sep 11@ TORW 7-4100000000100.163.224.256.480
Sep 9vs CLEW 9-5200000100100.167.229.262.491
Sep 7vs CLEW 6-4202000020000.175.244.275.519
Sep 6vs BOSL 3-1301100000200.132.171.237.408
Jul 12vs CLEL 5-2200000000100.114.158.200.358
May 2@ PITL 17-7100000000100.121.167.212.379
May 1@ PITL 9-1100000000100.125.171.219.390
Apr 29vs COLL 13-2100000000100.129.176.226.402
Apr 28vs COLW 7-2200000000100.133.182.233.415
Apr 24vs DETW 9-8401100000300.143.194.250.444
Apr 21@ TBW 12-6310000001300.125.185.208.394
Apr 20@ TBW 6-1401100200100.143.174.238.412
Apr 19@ MINW 7-4 F/10401100210200.118.158.176.334
Apr 18@ MINW 5-4311000100000.077.071.077.148
Apr 16vs SFL 3-0300000000100.000.000.000.000
Apr 15vs SFW 8-3400000000200.000.000.000.000
Apr 14vs SFW 2-1300000000200.000.000.000.000

Game logs and standings via ESPN.