StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Riley Greene

Detroit Tigers · LF · #31

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

OVER 0.5 BATTER_HITS🔒 StatIQ play
Our projection1.42
Chance to hit66%
Best priceprophetx -158
Bet at prophetx

Cleared over 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 55/5100%avg 1.2
Last 1010/10100%avg 1.6
Last 2014/2070%avg 1.3
Season89/13665%avg 1
Home40/6562%avg 1
Away49/7169%avg 1.1

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0.26
Chance to hit87%
Best priceprophetx -800
Bet at prophetx

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 54/580%avg 0.2
Last 108/1080%avg 0.2
Last 2016/2080%avg 0.3
Season117/13686%avg 0.2
Home58/6589%avg 0.1
Away59/7183%avg 0.2

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.98
Chance to hit65%
Best pricebetparx -200

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 53/560%avg 0.6
Last 104/1040%avg 1
Last 208/2040%avg 1.1
Season91/13667%avg 0.6
Home46/6571%avg 0.5
Away45/7163%avg 0.6

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

OVER 1.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection2.59
Chance to hit40%
Best priceprophetx +156
Bet at prophetx

Cleared over 1.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 53/560%avg 2
Last 107/1070%avg 2.6
Last 2011/2055%avg 2.5
Season64/13647%avg 1.8
Home29/6545%avg 1.6
Away35/7149%avg 1.9

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

4AB / game
0.7R / game
1.6H / game
0.22B / game
0.13B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 20@ CHWL 8-1411100000100.285.372.484.856
Sep 19@ CHWL 3-1302000001000.286.373.484.856
Sep 18@ CHWW 11-8411001210200.283.370.483.853
Sep 17@ CHWL 3-1401000000200.284.370.478.848
Sep 16@ TORL 5-1401000100000.284.371.480.851
Sep 15@ TORW 10-1311000110100.284.372.482.854
Sep 14@ TORW 6-5512000000100.284.371.483.854
Sep 13vs COLW 8-1412001300100.283.370.484.854
Sep 12vs COLW 11-7512000100200.281.369.477.847
Sep 11vs COLW 6-2413110200000.279.369.478.847
Sep 9vs MINW 7-2200000120000.275.366.469.835
Sep 8vs MINL 3-2400000000200.277.365.471.836
Sep 7vs MINW 5-4413001200000.279.368.475.843
Sep 6@ CLEL 3-2 F/10402200200100.275.365.466.831
Sep 5@ CLEW 6-0534102400100.273.364.461.825
Sep 4@ CLEL 7-6310000010000.267.360.441.801
Sep 2@ MINW 11-6 F/12601100100300.269.361.444.805
Sep 1@ MINL 15-2400000100200.270.363.446.809
Aug 11vs CLEW 6-4010000001000.273.366.450.816
Aug 9@ SFW 3-1 F/10410000000300.273.365.450.815
Aug 8@ SFW 8-0411000010300.275.368.455.822
Aug 8@ SFL 5-2401000010000.275.367.457.824
Aug 6@ SEAW 11-0411100000200.276.367.459.825
Aug 6@ SEAL 4-2300000001100.276.368.458.826
Aug 5@ SEAW 8-0523001100200.278.369.462.830

Game logs and standings via ESPN.