StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Javier Baez

Detroit Tigers · SS · #28

Tonight’s lines (4)

Our projection against the market’s number, with how often they’ve actually cleared that exact line — by recency, home/away, and opponent.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HITS👀 Watching
Our projection0.55
Chance to hit44%
Best pricedraftkings +128
Bet at draftkings

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HITS

Last 54/580%avg 0.2
Last 107/1070%avg 0.3
Last 2011/2055%avg 0.5
Season23/5343%avg 0.8
Home9/2339%avg 0.8
Away14/3047%avg 0.8

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_RBIS👀 Watching
Our projection0.24
Chance to hit74%
Best pricebetparx -295

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_RBIS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 109/1090%avg 0.3
Last 2019/2095%avg 0.2
Season42/5379%avg 0.3
Home18/2378%avg 0.3
Away24/3080%avg 0.4

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES👀 Watching
Our projection0.88
Chance to hit44%
Best priceespnbet +120
Bet at espnbet

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_TOTAL_BASES

Last 54/580%avg 0.2
Last 107/1070%avg 0.5
Last 2011/2055%avg 0.8
Season23/5343%avg 1.2
Home9/2339%avg 1.2
Away14/3047%avg 1.1

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

UNDER 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS👀 Watching
Our projection0.01
Chance to hit95%
Best priceespnbet -2500
Bet at espnbet

Cleared under 0.5 BATTER_HOME_RUNS

Last 55/5100%avg 0
Last 1010/10100%avg 0
Last 2020/20100%avg 0
Season51/5396%avg 0
Home22/2396%avg 0
Away29/3097%avg 0

These are trailing results, not a forecast — the market has already priced them in. We show them next to our projection, never instead of it.

Last 10 games

2.8AB / game
0.2R / game
0.3H / game
0.22B / game
03B / game

Game log

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Sep 18@ CHWW 11-8201000000100.237.265.345.609
Sep 17@ CHWL 3-1300000000300.234.262.343.605
Sep 11vs COLW 6-2300000000000.238.267.349.616
Sep 5@ CLEW 6-0400000000200.243.271.355.626
Sep 4@ CLEL 7-6300000000000.248.277.364.641
Sep 2@ MINW 11-6 F/12101100300000.253.282.370.653
Sep 1@ MINL 15-2400000000100.248.278.360.638
Aug 30vs LADL 6-1300000000000.255.285.369.654
Aug 29vs LADW 2-1321100010100.260.290.377.667
Aug 28vs LADL 2-1200000000100.258.285.371.656
Aug 25vs TBW 4-1321010000000.262.288.376.664
Aug 24vs TBL 4-1301000000200.260.288.363.651
Aug 23@ KCL 11-7211100000000.259.287.364.650
Aug 22@ KCL 5-2401100000100.255.284.355.638
Aug 18@ PITL 4-1300000000000.255.285.350.635
Aug 17@ PITW 8-5400000001100.261.291.358.649
Aug 16vs CHWL 7-5400000000000.269.294.369.663
Aug 15vs CHWL 4-3300000000100.278.303.381.684
Aug 13vs CLEW 3-0311100000100.285.310.390.700
Aug 12vs CLEL 6-4401000000200.283.310.383.693
Aug 11vs CLEW 6-4221000010001.284.311.388.699
Aug 8@ SFW 8-0502000100100.281.303.386.688
Aug 8@ SFL 5-2400000000000.275.298.385.684
Aug 6@ SEAW 11-0502000200000.286.309.400.709
Aug 5@ SEAW 8-0310000010100.280.305.400.705

Game logs and standings via ESPN.