Every play StatIQ logged at a price before the game started, graded in the open afterwards. Wins and losses, never deleted — loading the ledger…
…
loading
StatIQ Sports — honest player-prop projections with a public record
StatIQPregame to final — all in one place
DetailAdds the projection, the calibrated chance, the band and the history.
The record
Every play StatIQ logged at a price before the game started, graded in the open afterwards. Wins and losses, never deleted. This page exists to be checked, not believed.
Everything below counts WNBA only, current model (since Jul 28), in units. Change any of the three and every number on the page changes with it.
74−57−1
WNBA · Current model · since Jul 28
132 graded plays
56.5%
Hit rate74 of 131 decided
+7.93u
Net unitsflat 1u a play
+6.00%
Return per playnet u ÷ 132 plays
18 · 48 void
Still openlogged, not yet graded
+ WNBA is ahead Over 132 graded WNBA plays in this era we are up +7.93u. That is a result, not a claim — a return figure needs something like 4,000 plays before it separates skill from variance, so we publish it exactly the way we publish the one that is behind. The other two windows are not hidden: the previous model is 49−58 at −3.47u, and the all-time official record is 123−115−1 at +4.45u. Records are never blended across sports — different models, different markets, different start dates; one combined figure would be a number we invented.
Before the numbers
How to read this page
One sport at a time. You are looking at WNBA. Each sport is a different model on different markets and their records are never added together, not even to make a bigger number.
One era at a time, but all three are on screen. The headline counts the era in the switch above. The other two are in the table below it, and the first two add up to the third.
A rate needs a sample. Below 20 decided plays we show the raw won–lost and a dash instead of a percentage. That rule is applied to good samples and bad ones identically.
Colour is never the only signal. Every gain or loss carries an explicit + or − and a word. The page reads correctly in greyscale.
Any number that is not the headline says so. Every subset on this page states its own n, how that n relates to the headline’s n, and what happened to the rows it excludes. If you find one that does not, that is a bug and it is the worst kind we can ship.
Voids are not wins and not losses. A player who never played settles at 0 and stays on the record labelled as such. Nothing is deleted, ever.
The cutoffs, in full. The official WNBA record starts 2026-07-08; the current model era starts 2026-07-28. Anything before the first date is kept and shown but not counted — it was graded under rules we have since disowned. The excluded stretch is itemised at the foot of the era table, including when it helped us.
Return per play is net units divided by graded plays at a flat 1 unit, on the price we locked, before any bonus, boost or fee. It describes plays already graded. It is not a forecast and it is not annualised.
Eras
Three windows, all on screen at once
A model cutover starts a new era. The previous era stays published and unedited — a scoreboard you are allowed to reset is not a scoreboard. So rather than hide two of the three numbers behind the one that flatters us, all three sit in one table, and the top two add up to the bottom one. Pick a row to make it the headline.
Window
W−L
Graded
Hit rate
Return / play
Net units
Current modelsince Jul 28 · the model selecting plays today
Before the official recordplays from Jul 6 to Jul 7 · not counted anywhere above
6−8
14
—
—
−1.09u
The two eras add up to the record computed from 239 rows
✓This identity holds:74 + 49 = 123 wins
✓
The curve
Cumulative units, both eras, one axis
The whole official record on one line, with the model cutover drawn as a rule rather than as a fresh start. The shaded span is the era the headline above counts. The best and worst points are both labelled: a chart that only marks its peak is an advertisement.
Cumulative units across 29 graded days, Jul 8 to Aug 12, ending at +4.45u. One point per game day, evenly spaced — days with no games are not stretched out, so the horizontal axis is order, not calendar time. The line is the whole official record, both eras: the era the headline counts is shaded, and the cutover is drawn as a rule rather than as a restart, because restarting the chart at every recalibration is how a losing record disappears one cutover at a time. Every point here is also a row in the table below.
Day by day
Every day, and every pick inside it
One row per game day: won–lost, that day’s units, and the running total after it. Open a day to see the individual plays — the side we took, the price we took it at, how long before the game we took it, what we projected, and what actually happened. Collapsing a day never hides its result: the totals stay on the header either way.
17 game days · 132 graded plays · 48 void · 18 still open. The day totals add to +7.93u, the same figure as the headline.
Aug 13Thu0−00.00urunning +7.93u18 opencurrent model
Aja Wilson›LV vs WAS · assists · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 3.5-138 at Novigproj 2.59 · not settled+0.51%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took-138 at Novig
Locked before the game
Splits
The same plays, cut four ways
Each split is an exhaustive partition of the plays in the current scope: the rows add to the headline’s W–L and to its units, and the table prints the total so you can see that they do. Rates are withheld below n=20 — and on a small sample almost every cell is withheld, which is the honest answer rather than a table of noise.
A descriptive split of a sample this size is a curiosity, not a finding. It is here so you can see where the result came from, not so we can claim a market we are good at.
Side we took
Plays
W−L
Hit rate
Return / play
Net units
Contribution
Under
87
50−37
57.5%
+5.02%
+4.37u
Over
45
24−20−1
54.5%
+7.91%
+3.56u
All 2 groups
132
74−57−1
56.5%
+6.00%
+7.93u
This split partitions the headline exactly 2 groups
✓This identity holds:
Where the price came from
The same plays, at two definitions of “takeable”
Where the price came from — the same 132 settled tracked plays (bets we made, not measurement-only locks), current model, read two ways
As logged+6.00%+7.93u74–57–1 · n=132every play, at the price we locked
Neither of these is “the real one.” The left column is the append-only record exactly as we logged it. The right column is the same plays restricted to prices takeable at a state-licensed US sportsbook or a CFTC-designated contract market (Novig, ProphetX) — what the record looks like if you can only bet where we would send you. They reconcile exactly: 132 = 126 + 6 excluded, worth -1.17u. Nothing is hidden and nothing is counted twice.
Sweepstakes2 plays+1.03upriced at a sweepstakes book — promotional currency, not a cash price
Offshore4 plays-2.20upriced offshore — no US licence, no consumer recourse
Going forward the play gate reads the US-regulated price, so we never tell you something is worth betting only at a venue you may not be able to use. The offshore number is still captured and still shown next to it, so this table keeps measuring exactly what that choice costs us — or saves us. Excluded plays are never deleted: they stay in the record, in the list below, and in the left column.
Subsets
Two numbers that are not the record
Both of these count a different set of rows from the headline, and that is exactly how a number stops reconciling and starts looking like a contradiction. So each one states its own n, how that n relates to the headline’s n, and what happened to the rows it leaves out.
At the book vs at Kalshi 53 of 132 plays
At the book
+1.50u
+2.82% per play
At Kalshi, fee included
−2.11u
−3.98% per play
Same plays, same results29−23−1 either way
What differsonly the price each venue paid
Kalshi fee applied0.07 × p × (1−p) per contract, rounded up to the cent
and it reconciles to the headline
✓This identity holds:53 comparable + 79 with no fillable Kalshi price = 132 graded plays
✓This identity holds:+1.50u + +6.43u = +7.93u, the headline net
A price comparison on the 53 plays where Kalshi listed our line at a fillable pre-game price (5¢–95¢; the tails are stale or untradeable and a “win” at 1¢ pays 49× and fakes the whole number). The other 79 plays ran +6.43u and count in the headline only. Kalshi charges no sportsbook vig but we line-shop across many books, so the book beating the exchange is a finding, not a bug.
Closing line value, on the tracked plays 106 of 132 plays
+0.39%
average, in probability points, against where our side closed · beat the close on 59 of 106
why 106 and not 132
✓ counted above
Nothing settles at “never happened”
Voids, pushes and the plays still open
Rows that could not win or lose money. They are not in the W–L and not in the return, because no stake was ever at risk on them — and they are not deleted, because “we took this line” is the claim, and the claim stands whether or not the player played. Every count here is scoped to the era selected above, the same as the headline.
Voids — nobody could win or lose 48 rows
48 settled at 0.00u
WNBA · current model
the game was postponed — it was never played12
ruled out before the game — never played9
no stat line we could confirm27
✓This identity holds:132 graded + 48 void + 18 open = 198 rows we logged in this scope
The voids are in that total and not in the headline’s 132. Counting a scratch as a win would be a lie; deleting it would be a different one.
Where we cannot name the reason precisely we say “no action” rather than guess “did not play”. A postponed game is not a player sitting out, and a label that is only probably true has no business on a record page.
Pushes and open plays
Pushes (landed exactly on the number)1
Logged, game not finished18
Measurement-only picks (never in this record)1911
A push returns the stake and decides nothing, so it counts in the graded total and in neither the wins nor the losses.
The 1911 measurement-only picks are model-qualified numbers we take a price on and grade purely to measure ourselves faster. They have their own wins and losses and , good or bad. They are the reason the closing-line-value sample on the audit page is bigger than this record.
The promise
Append-only, and here is what that costs us
“Append-only” is easy to write and hard to prove. The proof is that the worst things that have happened to us are still on this page, at full size, in the same type as the good ones.
Logged before the game, every time
✓ 132 / 132
plays whose price was locked strictly before the scheduled start
earliestgame startstightest 1h 20m
Earliest1d 5h before
Median11h 59m before
Tightest1h 20m before
This is the claim the whole record rests on, so it is measured rather than asserted: for every play we hold the moment we locked the price and the scheduled start, and the gap is checked on every single one. The tightest was 1h 20m.
The worst of it, at full size
Worst dayWed, Aug 12 · 4−8
…that day cost−5.00u
Longest losing run5 plays in a row
Deepest drawdown from a peak−5.71u
Best dayTue, Aug 11 · 10−1
…that day made+7.63u
Both directions, same type size, same panel. A record page that can tell you its best day and not its worst one is an advertisement with a table in it. Every one of these days is expandable in the ledger above — the bad ones are not archived any deeper than the good ones.
Don’t take our word for it
Check the arithmetic
Every identity this page relies on, re-derived from the raw rows. If a subset near a headline cannot be reconciled with the headline, that is the worst bug this product can ship — so these are printed rather than promised, and a failing one renders as a failure on the page instead of quietly disappearing.
✓ 14 of 14 checks passed · re-derived from 198 rows in this scope
✓Passed:the eras partition the record — 74−57−1 + 49−58 = 123−115−1
✓Passed:era units add up — +7.93u + −3.47u = +4.45u
✓Passed:era counts add up — 132 + 107 = 239 graded plays
✓Passed:the market split partitions all 132 plays and +7.93u exactly
✓Passed:the side split partitions all 132 plays and +7.93u exactly
✓Passed:the book split partitions all 132 plays and +7.93u exactly
✓Passed:the how early we bet split partitions all 132 plays and +7.93u exactly
✓Passed:the at-Kalshi subset plus the plays it excludes equals the headline, in count AND in units
✓Passed:every graded play has exactly one CLV status — 106 counted, 25 the book moved the line, 1 no closing quote
✓Passed:the CLV legs telescope — +1.01% waiting + −0.73% drift = +0.29% raw
Past results are a record of what happened, not a forecast. No ROI claim is made anywhere on this page: a return figure here describes plays already graded, and the sample is far short of the several thousand it would take to separate skill from variance. Browse the same record by player →
This identity holds:
57 + 58 = 115 losses
✓This identity holds:132 + 107 = 239 graded plays
✓This identity holds:+7.93u + −3.47u = +4.45u
The pre-record row is deliberately not in that sum. It is shown because hiding it would be the cherry-pick, and it is excluded because it was graded under a method we have disowned.
The official WNBA record begins 2026-07-08. Before that we have 6−8 over 14 plays worth −1.09u, and we do not count them — they were graded before watch-then-lock existed, under selection rules we no longer use. That excluded stretch was a loss of −1.09u, so excluding it flatters us by that much — which is precisely why it is printed here rather than dropped silently. The same rule cuts the other way on other sports, and it is the same rule either way.
11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-135
Where our side closed-142
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.59 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed62.5%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.51%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.69%
…of which: waiting paid−0.54%
…of which: market drift+1.23%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−0.54% + +1.23% = +0.69%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.51% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game53¢
With Kalshi’s fee55¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Allisha Gray›ATL vs CON · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 2.5-153 at DraftKingsproj 3.39 · not settled−2.65%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 rebounds
Price we took-153 at DraftKings
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-146
Where our side closed-145
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.39 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed62.1%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.65%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.29%
…of which: waiting paid−1.12%
…of which: market drift−0.17%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−1.12% + −0.17% = −1.29%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.65% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Angel Reese›ATL vs CON · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 12.5+102 at FanDuelproj 11.69 · not settled+1.20%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 12.5 rebounds
Price we took+102 at FanDuel
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-102
Where our side closed+102
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection11.69 rebounds
The market’s line12.5
Probability we displayed51.4%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.20%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price0.00%
…of which: waiting paid+0.99%
…of which: market drift−0.99%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.99% + −0.99% = 0.00%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.20% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Ariel Atkins›LA vs NY · threes · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 1.5-125 at ESPN BETproj 1.04 · not settled+1.72%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-125 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-125
Where our side closed-133
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.04 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed58.8%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.72%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.53%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.53%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.53% = +1.53%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.72% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game59¢
With Kalshi’s fee61¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Breanna Stewart›NY vs LA · points · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 22.5+100 at Novigproj 21.94 · not settled+0.54%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 22.5 points
Price we took+100 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-110
Where our side closed+100
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection21.94 points
The market’s line22.5
Probability we displayed52.4%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.54%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price0.00%
…of which: waiting paid+2.38%
…of which: market drift−2.38%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.38% + −2.38% = 0.00%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.54% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Diamond Miller›CON vs ATL · threes · priced 1d 4h before the gameUnder 1.5-190 at ESPN BETproj 0.82 · not settled+2.05%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-190 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 4h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-190
Where our side closed-215
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.82 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed69.6%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.05%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.74%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.74%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.74% = +2.74%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.05% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Erica Wheeler›LA vs NY · threes · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 1.5-165 at ESPN BETproj 1.17 · not settled−2.26%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-165 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-165
Where our side closed-150
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.17 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed62.5%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.26%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price−2.26%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−2.26%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Jackie Young›LV vs WAS · threes · priced 11h 20m before the gameUnder 2.5-141 at Novigproj 2.03 · not settled−0.00%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 threes
Price we took-141 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 20m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-165
Where our side closed-150
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.03 threes
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed59.3%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.00%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.49%
…of which: waiting paid+3.76%
…of which: market drift−2.26%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+3.76% + −2.26% = +1.49%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.00% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game61¢
With Kalshi’s fee63¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Jordin Canada›ATL vs CON · PRA · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 23.5+111 at Novigproj 24.31 · not settled+2.51%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 23.5 PRA
Price we took+111 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-104
Where our side closed-106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection24.31 PRA
The market’s line23.5
Probability we displayed46.9%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.51%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+4.06%
…of which: waiting paid+3.59%
…of which: market drift+0.48%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+3.59% + +0.48% = +4.06%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.51% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Kiki Iriafen›WAS vs LV · rebounds · priced 10h 14m before the gameUnder 9.5-101 at DraftKingsproj 8.72 · not settled+1.88%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 9.5 rebounds
Price we took-101 at DraftKings
Locked before the game10h 14m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-122
Where our side closed-117
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection8.72 rebounds
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed53.4%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.88%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+3.67%
…of which: waiting paid+4.71%
…of which: market drift−1.04%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+4.71% + −1.04% = +3.67%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.88% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game55¢
With Kalshi’s fee57¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Leila Lacan›CON vs ATL · threes · priced 1d 4h before the gameUnder 1.5-227 at DraftKingsproj 0.69 · not settled+2.40%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-227 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 4h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-227
Where our side closed-240
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.69 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed72.4%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.40%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.17%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.17%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.17% = +1.17%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.40% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Nalyssa Smith›LV vs WAS · points · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 11.5+111 at Novigproj 11.9 · not settled—no close until the game startsOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 11.5 points
Price we took+111 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-105
Where our side closed-120 on 10.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection11.9 points
The market’s line11.5
Probability we displayed48.7%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Nneka Ogwumike›LA vs NY · rebounds · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 8.5-112 at FanDuelproj 7.76 · not settled+4.68%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 rebounds
Price we took-112 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-112
Where our side closed-128
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.76 rebounds
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed51.8%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+4.68%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+3.31%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+3.31%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +3.31% = +3.31%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +4.68% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Rae Burrell›LA vs NY · threes · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 1.5+135 at ESPN BETproj 1.04 · not settled+0.70%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took+135 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+135
Where our side closed+133
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.04 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed46.8%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.70%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.37%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.37%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.37% = +0.37%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.70% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game52¢
With Kalshi’s fee54¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Rhyne Howard›ATL vs CON · threes · priced 1d 4h before the gameUnder 3.5-120 at ESPN BETproj 2.36 · not settled+7.33%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 threes
Price we took-120 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 4h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-120
Where our side closed-150
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.36 threes
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed58.2%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+7.33%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+5.45%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+5.45%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +5.45% = +5.45%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +7.33% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game58¢
With Kalshi’s fee60¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Sabrina Ionescu›NY vs LA · assists · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 5.5-116 at DraftKingsproj 4.07 · not settled+0.35%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5.5 assists
Price we took-116 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-116
Where our side closed-117
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.07 assists
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed60.8%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.35%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.21%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.21%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.21% = +0.21%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.35% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game43¢
With Kalshi’s fee45¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Shakira Austin›WAS vs LV · rebounds · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 9.5-114 at FanDuelproj 9.15 · not settled+0.30%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 9.5 rebounds
Price we took-114 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-114
Where our side closed-117
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection9.15 rebounds
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed52.2%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.30%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.65%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.65%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.65% = +0.65%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.30% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game47¢
With Kalshi’s fee49¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Sonia Citron›WAS vs LV · threes · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 1.5-105 at ESPN BETproj 1.19 · not settled+2.91%CLV vs closeOpen—
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-105 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-105
Where our side closed-118
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.19 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed57.2%
Actualpending
Settlednot yet
This play is logged and priced. It will settle here, win or lose, and it will not move.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.91%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+2.91%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.91%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game49¢
With Kalshi’s fee51¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Aug 12Wed4−8−5.00urunning +7.93u7 voidcurrent model
Nyara Sabally›TOR vs DAL · points · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 13.5+100 at ESPN BETproj 12.35 → 6not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 13.5 points
Price we took+100 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed-115 on 14.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection12.35 points
The market’s line13.5
Probability we displayed59.4%
Actual6 points
Settled+1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Marina Mabrey›TOR vs DAL · assists · priced 11h 55m before the gameUnder 4.5-125 at ESPN BETproj 3.8 → 4−0.69%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.80u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 4.5 assists
Price we took-125 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game11h 55m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-114 on 3.5
Where our side closed-114
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.8 assists
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed56.9%
Actual4 assists
Settled+0.80u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.69%
Olivia Miles›MIN vs POR · assists · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 7.5-140 at ProphetXproj 6.19 → 7−1.66%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.71u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 7.5 assists
Price we took-140 at ProphetX
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-149
Where our side closed-120
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.19 assists
The market’s line7.5
Probability we displayed61.5%
Actual7 assists
Settled+0.71u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.66%
Basis
Emily Engstler›POR vs MIN · threes · priced 5h 40m before the gameUnder 1.5-205 at DraftKingsproj 0.61 → 1+1.24%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.49u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-205 at DraftKings
Locked before the game5h 40m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-215
Where our side closed-199
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.61 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed70.9%
Actual1 threes
Settled+0.49u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.24%
Alanna Smith›DAL vs TOR · threes · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 1.5-180 at ESPN BETproj 0.1 → 2−5.77%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-180 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-180
Where our side closed-140
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.1 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed71.6%
Actual2 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−5.77%
Basis
Arike Ogunbowale›DAL vs TOR · assists · priced 1d 3h before the gameUnder 3.5+105 at DraftKingsproj 2.76 → 5−1.33%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took+105 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 3h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-111
Where our side closed+111
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.76 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed55.2%
Actual5 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.33%
Awak Kuier›DAL vs TOR · rebounds · priced 5h 54m before the gameUnder 3.5+120 at ESPN BETproj 2.14 → 4not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took+120 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game5h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+120
Where our side closed-113 on 4.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.14 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed53.3%
Actual4 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Bridget Carleton›POR vs MIN · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 4.5+117 at Novigproj 3.84 → 5+0.52%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 4.5 rebounds
Price we took+117 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+102
Where our side closed+115
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.84 rebounds
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed57.2%
Actual5 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.52%
Courtney Williams›MIN vs POR · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 4.5-109 at ProphetXproj 5.56 → 1+2.80%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 4.5 rebounds
Price we took-109 at ProphetX
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-145
Where our side closed-122
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.56 rebounds
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed54.0%
Actual1 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.80%
Kayla Mcbride›MIN vs POR · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 2.5-115 at Hard Rock Betproj 3.45 → 1+0.64%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 rebounds
Price we took-115 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-130
Where our side closed-118
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.45 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed55.3%
Actual1 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.64%
Napheesa Collier›MIN vs POR · threes · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 1.5+100 at Hard Rock Betproj 1.86 → 0−0.66%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 1.5 threes
Price we took+100 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-101
Where our side closed+102
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.86 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed51.1%
Actual0 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.66%
Paige Bueckers›DAL vs TOR · assists · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 6.5-114 at DraftKingsproj 5.94 → 8not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 6.5 assists
Price we took-114 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-114
Where our side closed-145 on 7.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.94 assists
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed63.0%
Actual8 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Cecilia Zandalasini›GS vs CHI · threes · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 1.5-190 at ESPN BETproj 0.72−8.98%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-190 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-190
Where our side closed-138
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.72 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed69.9%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Courtney Vandersloot›CHI vs GS · rebounds · priced 11h 55m before the gameUnder 3.5-173 at Caesarsproj 2.28not measurablethe book moved the lineNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-173 at Caesars
Locked before the game11h 55m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+132 on 2.5
Where our side closed+125 on 2.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.28 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed65.6%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Janelle Salaun›GS vs CHI · points · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 11.5-105 at ESPN BETproj 11.07−2.38%CLV vs closeDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 11.5 points
Price we took-105 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-105
Where our side closed+113
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection11.07 points
The market’s line11.5
Probability we displayed50.4%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Kamilla Cardoso›CHI vs GS · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 8.5+115 at Novigproj 6.94not measurablethe book moved the lineNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 rebounds
Price we took+115 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-126
Where our side closed-135 on 9.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.94 rebounds
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed52.9%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Kayla Thornton›GS vs CHI · rebounds · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 5.5-142 at DraftKingsproj 4.61not measurablethe book moved the lineNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5.5 rebounds
Price we took-142 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-142
Where our side closed-135 on 6.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.61 rebounds
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed62.2%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Natasha Cloud›CHI vs GS · rebounds · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 3.5-147 at DraftKingsproj 2.73+1.04%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-147 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-147
Where our side closed-155
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.73 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed63.5%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Veronica Burton›GS vs CHI · threes · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 1.5-151 at DraftKingsproj 0.89+2.74%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-151 at DraftKings
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-130
Where our side closed-170
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.89 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed66.2%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Aug 11Tue10−1−1+7.63urunning +12.92u6 voidcurrent model
Nalyssa Smith›LV vs WAS · rebounds · priced 1d 5h before the gameOver 5.5+124 at FanDuelproj 6.58 → 11+7.66%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.24u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 5.5 rebounds
Price we took+124 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+124
Where our side closed-107
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.58 rebounds
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed53.5%
Actual11 rebounds
Settled+1.24u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+7.66%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+7.05%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+7.05%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +7.05% = +7.05%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +7.66% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Chelsea Gray›LV vs WAS · PRA · priced 7h 54m before the gameUnder 21.5+102 at Novigproj 20.71 → 19not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+1.02u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 21.5 PRA
Price we took+102 at Novig
Locked before the game7h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+102
Where our side closed+110 on 22
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection20.71 PRA
The market’s line21.5
Probability we displayed50.5%
Actual19 PRA
Settled+1.02u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Michaela Onyenwere›WAS vs LV · threes · priced 7h 54m before the gameUnder 1.5-109 at ProphetXproj 1.02 → 0+3.92%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.92u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-109 at ProphetX
Locked before the game7h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-109
Where our side closed-125
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.02 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed59.9%
Actual0 threes
Settled+0.92u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+3.92%
Shakira Austin›WAS vs LV · PRA · priced 1d 5h before the gameOver 30.5-118 at FanDuelproj 29.57 → 31not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.85u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 30.5 PRA
Price we took-118 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-118
Where our side closed-102 on 29.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection29.57 PRA
The market’s line30.5
Probability we displayed49.2%
Actual31 PRA
Settled+0.85u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Jonquel Jones›NY vs IND · threes · priced 12h before the gameOver 1.5-122 at Novigproj 2.1 → 3−2.01%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.82u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 1.5 threes
Price we took-122 at Novig
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-121
Where our side closed-105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.1 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed55.7%
Actual3 threes
Settled+0.82u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.01%
Basis
Sabrina Ionescu›NY vs IND · assists · priced 11h 25m before the gameUnder 5.5-124 at DraftKingsproj 4.07 → 5+2.28%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.81u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5.5 assists
Price we took-124 at DraftKings
Locked before the game11h 25m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+110
Where our side closed-130
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.07 assists
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed62.3%
Actual5 assists
Settled+0.81u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.28%
Aliyah Boston›IND vs NY · rebounds · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 9.5-125 at ESPN BETproj 8.64 → 7+0.29%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.80u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 9.5 rebounds
Price we took-125 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-125
Where our side closed-127
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection8.64 rebounds
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed57.4%
Actual7 rebounds
Settled+0.80u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.29%
Breanna Stewart›NY vs IND · rebounds · priced 12h before the gameUnder 8.5-135 at ESPN BETproj 7.36 → 7−2.09%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.74u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 rebounds
Price we took-135 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-135
Where our side closed-113
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.36 rebounds
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed58.9%
Actual7 rebounds
Settled+0.74u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.09%
Caitlin Clark›IND vs NY · rebounds · priced 12h before the gameUnder 4.5-136 at FanDuelproj 3.5 → 4−1.68%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.74u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 4.5 rebounds
Price we took-136 at FanDuel
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-159
Where our side closed-127
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.5 rebounds
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed65.0%
Actual4 rebounds
Settled+0.74u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.68%
Basis
Sonia Citron›WAS vs LV · assists · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 4.5-142 at DraftKingsproj 3.43 → 2not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.70u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 4.5 assists
Price we took-142 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-142
Where our side closed+116 on 4
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.43 assists
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed47.0%
Actual2 assists
Settled+0.70u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Kiki Iriafen›WAS vs LV · points · priced 11h 14m before the gameOver 15+120 at betPARXproj 16.58 → 15not measurablethe book moved the line= Push0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 15 points
Price we took+120 at betPARX
Locked before the game11h 14m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-110 on 14.5
Where our side closed-109 on 14.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection16.58 points
The market’s line15
Probability we displayed50.4%
Actual15 points
Settled0.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Kelsey Mitchell›IND vs NY · threes · priced 11h 55m before the gameUnder 3.5-170 at Hard Rock Betproj 2.18 → 4+0.62%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 threes
Price we took-170 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game11h 55m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+127 on 2.5
Where our side closed-162
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.18 threes
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed65.2%
Actual4 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.62%
Alyssa Thomas›PHX vs LA · points · priced 11h 55m before the gameUnder 15.5+100 at Novigproj 14.89not measurablethe book moved the lineNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 15.5 points
Price we took+100 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 55m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-121 on 14.5
Where our side closed-125 on 16.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection14.89 points
The market’s line15.5
Probability we displayed50.6%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Dearica Hamby›LA vs PHX · assists · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 2.5-106 at Novigproj 2.17−0.24%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-106 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-158
Where our side closed-105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.17 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed55.5%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Erica Wheeler›LA vs PHX · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 2.5-160 at Hard Rock Betproj 2.17+3.74%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 rebounds
Price we took-160 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-190
Where our side closed-188
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.17 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed62.3%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Kahleah Copper›PHX vs LA · threes · priced 10h 25m before the gameUnder 2.5-150 at ProphetXproj 1.59−0.92%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 threes
Price we took-150 at ProphetX
Locked before the game10h 25m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-160
Where our side closed-147
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.59 threes
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed65.9%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Nneka Ogwumike›LA vs PHX · points · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 15.5-105 at Hard Rock Betproj 15.9not measurablethe book moved the lineNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 15.5 points
Price we took-105 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-112
Where our side closed-103 on 16.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection15.9 points
The market’s line15.5
Probability we displayed54.2%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Rae Burrell›LA vs PHX · assists · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 2.5-141 at Novigproj 2.3−5.15%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-141 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-146
Where our side closed-106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.3 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed53.0%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Aug 10Mon2−4−2.19urunning +5.29u7 voidcurrent model
Julie Allemand›TOR vs ATL · assists · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 6.5+105 at ESPN BETproj 5.92 → 2+4.70%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.05u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 6.5 assists
Price we took+105 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+104
Where our side closed-115
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.92 assists
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed52.6%
Actual2 assists
Settled+1.05u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+4.70%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+4.71%
…of which: waiting paid+0.24%
…of which: market drift+4.47%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.24% + +4.47% = +4.71%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +4.70% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game50¢
With Kalshi’s fee52¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Allisha Gray›ATL vs TOR · rebounds · priced 1d 3h before the gameOver 2.5-132 at FanDuelproj 3.57 → 3not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.76u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 rebounds
Price we took-132 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1d 3h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-132
Where our side closed+160 on 3.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.57 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed37.6%
Actual3 rebounds
Settled+0.76u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Jordin Canada›ATL vs TOR · assists · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 7.5+105 at ESPN BETproj 6.91 → 9not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 7.5 assists
Price we took+105 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+105
Where our side closed-114 on 8.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.91 assists
The market’s line7.5
Probability we displayed57.1%
Actual9 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Maria Conde›TOR vs ATL · points · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 9.5+100 at Hard Rock Betproj 10.86 → 2−1.26%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 9.5 points
Price we took+100 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-114
Where our side closed+106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection10.86 points
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed52.5%
Actual2 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.26%
Nyara Sabally›TOR vs ATL · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 4.5+105 at ESPN BETproj 4.12 → 12+2.03%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 4.5 rebounds
Price we took+105 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+118
Where our side closed+100
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.12 rebounds
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed50.8%
Actual12 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.03%
Rhyne Howard›ATL vs TOR · points · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 17.5+102 at FanDuelproj 16.2 → 22+0.02%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 17.5 points
Price we took+102 at FanDuel
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-108
Where our side closed+101
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection16.2 points
The market’s line17.5
Probability we displayed52.7%
Actual22 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.02%
Basis
Awa Fam›SEA vs CHI · rebounds · priced 5h 40m before the gameOver 5.5+103 at DraftKingsproj 6.28+2.84%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 5.5 rebounds
Price we took+103 at DraftKings
Locked before the game5h 40m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+106
Where our side closed-104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.28 rebounds
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed52.0%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Courtney Vandersloot›CHI vs SEA · rebounds · priced 7h 54m before the gameUnder 3.5-108 at Novigproj 2.61+1.13%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-108 at Novig
Locked before the game7h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-108
Where our side closed-113
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.61 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed57.3%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Dominique Malonga›SEA vs CHI · assists · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 2.5-160 at Hard Rock Betproj 1.720.00%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-160 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-157
Where our side closed-160
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.72 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed69.2%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Flaujae Johnson›SEA vs CHI · threes · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 1.5-187 at DraftKingsproj 1.03−1.87%CLV vs closeDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-187 at DraftKings
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-180
Where our side closed-190
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.03 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed64.9%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Kamilla Cardoso›CHI vs SEA · points · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 14.5+100 at Novigproj 13.43not measurablethe book moved the lineNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 14.5 points
Price we took+100 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-115
Where our side closed-109 on 15.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection13.43 points
The market’s line14.5
Probability we displayed56.6%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Natasha Cloud›CHI vs SEA · assists · priced 7h 54m before the gameUnder 5.5+115 at Novigproj 4.53+0.09%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5.5 assists
Price we took+115 at Novig
Locked before the game7h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+115
Where our side closed+118
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.53 assists
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed53.3%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Natisha Hiedeman›SEA vs CHI · rebounds · priced 7h 54m before the gameOver 2.5+106 at Novigproj 2.99+3.38%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 rebounds
Price we took+106 at Novig
Locked before the game7h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+106
Where our side closed-108
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.99 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed48.5%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Aug 9Sun11−10+0.54urunning +7.49u3 voidcurrent model
Sabrina Ionescu›NY vs LV · assists · priced 11h 55m before the gameUnder 5.5+114 at FanDuelproj 4.31 → 2+3.22%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.14u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5.5 assists
Price we took+114 at FanDuel
Locked before the game11h 55m before the scheduled start
Where our side closed+103
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.31 assists
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed54.9%
Actual2 assists
Settled+1.14u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+3.22%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.53%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game46¢
With Kalshi’s fee48¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Gabby Williams›GS vs LA · threes · priced 12h before the gameUnder 1.5+111 at Novigproj 0.93 → 0+2.59%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.11u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took+111 at Novig
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed+104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.93 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed52.4%
Actual0 threes
Settled+1.11u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.59%
Basis
Jessica Shepard›DAL vs MIN · assists · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 5.5+111 at Novigproj 5.04 → 1+9.87%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.11u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5.5 assists
Price we took+111 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-124
Where our side closed-134
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.04 assists
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed58.2%
Actual1 assists
Settled+1.11u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+9.87%
Basis
Jonquel Jones›NY vs LV · points · priced 1h 50m before the gameOver 14.5+106 at Novigproj 14.84 → 15+0.24%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.06u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 14.5 points
Price we took+106 at Novig
Locked before the game1h 50m before the scheduled start
Where our side closed+104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection14.84 points
The market’s line14.5
Probability we displayed47.7%
Actual15 points
Settled+1.06u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.24%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price
Erica Wheeler›LA vs GS · points · priced 12h before the gameOver 8.5+102 at DraftKingsproj 9.4 → 15+0.78%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.02u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 8.5 points
Price we took+102 at DraftKings
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+102
Where our side closed+101
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection9.4 points
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed49.1%
Actual15 points
Settled+1.02u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.78%
Basis
Nneka Ogwumike›LA vs GS · points · priced 1d 4h before the gameOver 14.5+100 at FanDuelproj 15.54 → 16+0.99%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 14.5 points
Price we took+100 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1d 4h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed+103
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection15.54 points
The market’s line14.5
Probability we displayed52.1%
Actual16 points
Settled+1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.99%
Basis
Olivia Miles›MIN vs DAL · points · priced 11h 59m before the gameOver 19.5-104 at ProphetXproj 20.31 → 20−0.13%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.96u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 19.5 points
Price we took-104 at ProphetX
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-108
Where our side closed-102
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection20.31 points
The market’s line19.5
Probability we displayed49.8%
Actual20 points
Settled+0.96u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.13%
Basis
Paige Bueckers›DAL vs MIN · assists · priced 21h 24m before the gameOver 5.5-108 at FanDuelproj 5.81 → 8−4.42%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.93u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 5.5 assists
Price we took-108 at FanDuel
Locked before the game21h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-108
Where our side closed+120
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.81 assists
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed51.5%
Actual8 assists
Settled+0.93u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−4.42%
Basis
Veronica Burton›GS vs LA · threes · priced 12h before the gameUnder 1.5-125 at FanDuelproj 0.91 → 0−0.86%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.80u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-125 at FanDuel
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-120
Where our side closed-117
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.91 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed60.6%
Actual0 threes
Settled+0.80u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.86%
Basis
Alyssa Thomas›PHX vs WAS · assists · priced 22h 54m before the gameUnder 8.5-130 at Novigproj 7.87 → 6+3.35%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.77u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 assists
Price we took-130 at Novig
Locked before the game22h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-130
Where our side closed-143
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.87 assists
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed55.6%
Actual6 assists
Settled+0.77u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+3.35%
Basis
Cecilia Zandalasini›GS vs LA · assists · priced 12h before the gameUnder 2.5-156 at DraftKingsproj 1.5 → 2+1.43%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.64u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-156 at DraftKings
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-161
Where our side closed-158
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.5 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed65.8%
Actual2 assists
Settled+0.64u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.43%
Arike Ogunbowale›DAL vs MIN · assists · priced 1h 24m before the gameUnder 3.5-146 at FanDuelproj 2.7 → 4+1.00%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took-146 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-146
Where our side closed-162
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.7 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed62.9%
Actual4 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.00%
Breanna Stewart›NY vs LV · assists · priced 11h 30m before the gameUnder 3.5-125 at FanDuelproj 2.78 → 4−1.57%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took-125 at FanDuel
Locked before the game11h 30m before the scheduled start
Where our side closed-117
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.78 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed55.9%
Actual4 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.57%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Dewanna Bonner›PHX vs WAS · threes · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 1.5-141 at Novigproj 1.06 → 2+2.44%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-141 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-161
Where our side closed-152
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.06 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed63.5%
Actual2 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.44%
Basis
Kahleah Copper›PHX vs WAS · threes · priced 9h 55m before the gameOver 2.5-182 at Novigproj 1.63 → 2not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 threes
Price we took-182 at Novig
Locked before the game9h 55m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-195 on 1.5
Where our side closed-141 on 1.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.63 threes
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed53.5%
Actual2 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Kayla Thornton›GS vs LA · points · priced 12h before the gameUnder 9.5+113 at Novigproj 9.25 → 11+3.26%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 9.5 points
Price we took+113 at Novig
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-130
Where our side closed-105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection9.25 points
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed53.0%
Actual11 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+3.26%
Basis
Kelsey Plum›PHX vs WAS · PRA · priced 6h 29m before the gameOver 25.5-120 at FanDuelproj 26.75 → 10−2.13%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 25.5 PRA
Price we took-120 at FanDuel
Locked before the game6h 29m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-118
Where our side closed-109
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection26.75 PRA
The market’s line25.5
Probability we displayed53.1%
Actual10 PRA
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.13%
Basis
Napheesa Collier›MIN vs DAL · points · priced 1h 20m before the gameOver 19.5+102 at Novigproj 20.1 → 17+0.73%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 19.5 points
Price we took+102 at Novig
Locked before the game1h 20m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-130
Where our side closed-103
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection20.1 points
The market’s line19.5
Probability we displayed48.8%
Actual17 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.73%
Basis
Natasha Howard›MIN vs DAL · rebounds · priced 1h 24m before the gameOver 6.5+123 at BetRiversproj 7.65 → 4+1.40%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 6.5 rebounds
Price we took+123 at BetRivers
Locked before the game1h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+123
Where our side closed+117
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.65 rebounds
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed47.3%
Actual4 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.40%
Shakira Austin›WAS vs PHX · rebounds · priced 11h 55m before the gameUnder 10.5-118 at FanDuelproj 9.19 → 11−2.91%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 10.5 rebounds
Price we took-118 at FanDuel
Locked before the game11h 55m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-106 on 9.5
Where our side closed-105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection9.19 rebounds
The market’s line10.5
Probability we displayed55.5%
Actual11 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.91%
Sonia Citron›WAS vs PHX · points · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 15.5-115 at Novigproj 16.18 → 19not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 15.5 points
Price we took-115 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-128
Where our side closed-106 on 16.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection16.18 points
The market’s line15.5
Probability we displayed53.9%
Actual19 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Aja Wilson›LV vs NY · assists · priced 11h 20m before the gameUnder 3.5-127 at ProphetXproj 2.66+1.81%CLV vs closeDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took-127 at ProphetX
Locked before the game11h 20m before the scheduled start
Where our side closed-127
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.66 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed60.9%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.81%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Chelsea Gray›LV vs NY · assists · priced 11h 55m before the gameOver 6.5+124 at FanDuelproj 6.81not measurablethe book moved the lineDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 6.5 assists
Price we took+124 at FanDuel
Locked before the game11h 55m before the scheduled start
Where our side closed+111 on 6
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.81 assists
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed47.2%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Exchange cross-check
Jackie Young›LV vs NY · points · priced 10h 40m before the gameOver 18.5-111 at Novigproj 19.27−0.55%CLV vs closeDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 18.5 points
Price we took-111 at Novig
Locked before the game10h 40m before the scheduled start
Where our side closed-111
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection19.27 points
The market’s line18.5
Probability we displayed52.7%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.55%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Aug 8Sat12−6+4.64urunning +6.95u1 voidcurrent model
Kayla Mcbride›MIN vs LV · rebounds · priced 12h before the gameOver 2.5+136 at FanDuelproj 3.22 → 4+3.04%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.36u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 rebounds
Price we took+136 at FanDuel
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-122
Where our side closed+116
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.22 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed48.2%
Actual4 rebounds
Settled+1.36u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+3.04%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+3.92%
…of which: waiting paid+12.58%
…of which: market drift−8.66%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+12.58% + −8.66% = +3.92%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.04% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Nalyssa Smith›LV vs MIN · rebounds · priced 1d 2h before the gameOver 5.5+127 at Novigproj 6.41 → 11+5.41%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.27u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 5.5 rebounds
Price we took+127 at Novig
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+127
Where our side closed+105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.41 rebounds
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed47.9%
Actual11 rebounds
Settled+1.27u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+5.41%
Basis
Jade Melbourne›SEA vs POR · assists · priced 11h before the gameOver 4.5+105 at ProphetXproj 4.84 → 50.00%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.05u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 4.5 assists
Price we took+105 at ProphetX
Locked before the game11h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed+105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.84 assists
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed48.6%
Actual5 assists
Settled+1.05u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish0.00%
Basis
Jackie Young›LV vs MIN · points · priced 12h before the gameOver 18.5+100 at Hard Rock Betproj 19.3 → 23+1.70%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 18.5 points
Price we took+100 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-110
Where our side closed-109
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection19.3 points
The market’s line18.5
Probability we displayed52.2%
Actual23 points
Settled+1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.70%
Basis
Natasha Howard›MIN vs LV · points · priced 12h before the gameOver 11.5+100 at Hard Rock Betproj 13.02 → 170.00%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 11.5 points
Price we took+100 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-115
Where our side closed-104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection13.02 points
The market’s line11.5
Probability we displayed54.6%
Actual17 points
Settled+1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish0.00%
Basis
Caitlin Clark›IND vs CHI · rebounds · priced 12h before the gameUnder 4.5-115 at ESPN BETproj 3.57 → 4−2.03%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.87u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 4.5 rebounds
Price we took-115 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-130
Where our side closed-106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.57 rebounds
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed59.0%
Actual4 rebounds
Settled+0.87u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.03%
Basis
Courtney Vandersloot›CHI vs IND · rebounds · priced 12h before the gameUnder 3.5-120 at Hard Rock Betproj 2.86 → 3−0.58%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.83u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-120 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-128
Where our side closed-125
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.86 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed59.3%
Actual3 rebounds
Settled+0.83u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.58%
Kamilla Cardoso›CHI vs IND · assists · priced 17h 24m before the gameUnder 2.5-122 at FanDuelproj 1.85 → 2−1.64%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.82u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-122 at FanDuel
Locked before the game17h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-123
Where our side closed-113
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.85 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed56.8%
Actual2 assists
Settled+0.82u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.64%
Natasha Cloud›CHI vs IND · rebounds · priced 12h before the gameUnder 3.5-137 at DraftKingsproj 2.87 → 2+2.48%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.73u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-137 at DraftKings
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-160
Where our side closed-160
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.87 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed63.4%
Actual2 rebounds
Settled+0.73u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.48%
Chelsea Gray›LV vs MIN · rebounds · priced 1d 2h before the gameUnder 3.5-161 at DraftKingsproj 3.08 → 2+0.69%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.62u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-161 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-161
Where our side closed-166
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.08 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed60.8%
Actual2 rebounds
Settled+0.62u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.69%
Natisha Hiedeman›SEA vs POR · threes · priced 22h 24m before the gameUnder 2.5-162 at FanDuelproj 1.7 → 0−0.62%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.62u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 threes
Price we took-162 at FanDuel
Locked before the game22h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-162
Where our side closed-150
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.7 threes
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed65.9%
Actual0 threes
Settled+0.62u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.62%
Aliyah Boston›IND vs CHI · threes · priced 12h before the gameUnder 1.5-215 at ESPN BETproj 0.88 → 0−0.34%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.47u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-215 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-225
Where our side closed-203
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.88 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed68.1%
Actual0 threes
Settled+0.47u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.34%
Basis
Bridget Carleton›POR vs SEA · rebounds · priced 22h 24m before the gameUnder 4.5-128 at DraftKingsproj 3.84 → 6−10.01%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 4.5 rebounds
Price we took-128 at DraftKings
Locked before the game22h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-128
Where our side closed+115
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.84 rebounds
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed53.5%
Actual6 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−10.01%
Dominique Malonga›SEA vs POR · rebounds · priced 22h 24m before the gameUnder 8.5-110 at Hard Rock Betproj 9.06 → 9not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 rebounds
Price we took-110 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game22h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-110
Where our side closed+100 on 9.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection9.06 rebounds
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed53.6%
Actual9 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Emily Engstler›POR vs SEA · threes · priced 22h 24m before the gameUnder 1.5-190 at ESPN BETproj 0.55 → 2+1.76%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-190 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game22h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-190
Where our side closed-200
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.55 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed70.8%
Actual2 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.76%
Ezi Magbegor›SEA vs POR · points · priced 12h before the gameUnder 6.5-115 at Novigproj 5.3 → 7−1.57%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 6.5 points
Price we took-115 at Novig
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-120
Where our side closed-106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.3 points
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed54.1%
Actual7 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.57%
Basis
Kelsey Mitchell›IND vs CHI · assists · priced 12h before the gameOver 2.5+105 at Hard Rock Betproj 3.08 → 2+3.33%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 assists
Price we took+105 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-106
Where our side closed-104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.08 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed53.3%
Actual2 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+3.33%
Olivia Miles›MIN vs LV · assists · priced 12h before the gameUnder 6.5-136 at DraftKingsproj 5.23 → 7+0.84%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 6.5 assists
Price we took-136 at DraftKings
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-135
Where our side closed-140
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.23 assists
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed62.5%
Actual7 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.84%
Basis
Megan Gustafson›POR vs SEA · threes · priced 44 min before the gameUnder 1.5-115 at Caesarsproj 0.91+0.04%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-115 at Caesars
Locked before the game44 min before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-115
Where our side closed-113
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.91 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed55.3%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Aug 7Fri11−8+0.30urunning +2.31ucurrent model
Angel Reese›ATL vs WAS · threes · priced 1d 0h before the gameUnder 0.5+106 at betPARXproj 0.05 → 0not measurableno closing quote✓ Won+1.06u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 0.5 threes
Price we took+106 at betPARX
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.05 threes
The market’s line0.5
Probability we displayed69.3%
Actual0 threes
Settled+1.06u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — no usable closing quote was captured before the game. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Arike Ogunbowale›DAL vs GS · threes · priced 1d 2h before the gameUnder 1.5+102 at FanDuelproj 1.49 → 1−4.66%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.02u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took+102 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+102
Where our side closed+127
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.49 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed49.7%
Actual1 threes
Settled+1.02u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−4.66%
Rhyne Howard›ATL vs WAS · assists · priced 12h before the gameUnder 3.5-105 at ProphetXproj 3.33 → 1−0.01%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.95u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took-105 at ProphetX
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-106
Where our side closed-104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.33 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed52.5%
Actual1 assists
Settled+0.95u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.01%
Basis
Olivia Nelsonododa›CON vs PHX · rebounds · priced 1d 0h before the gameUnder 8.5-110 at ESPN BETproj 7.42 → 4not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.91u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 rebounds
Price we took-110 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-110
Where our side closed+100 on 7.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.42 rebounds
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed56.4%
Actual4 rebounds
Settled+0.91u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Allisha Gray›ATL vs WAS · rebounds · priced 1d 0h before the gameOver 2.5-125 at BetOnlineproj 3.07 → 6−1.78%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.80u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 rebounds
Price we took-125 at BetOnline
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-125
Where our side closed-115
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.07 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed55.9%
Actual6 rebounds
Settled+0.80u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.78%
Basis
Alyssa Thomas›PHX vs CON · rebounds · priced 1d 0h before the gameUnder 8.5-138 at DraftKingsproj 7.39 → 8not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.72u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 rebounds
Price we took-138 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-138
Where our side closed+100 on 7.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.39 rebounds
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed62.4%
Actual8 rebounds
Settled+0.72u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Dewanna Bonner›PHX vs CON · threes · priced 7h 35m before the gameUnder 1.5-147 at Novigproj 1.07 → 0−0.26%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.68u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-147 at Novig
Locked before the game7h 35m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-150
Where our side closed-148
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.07 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed60.5%
Actual0 threes
Settled+0.68u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.26%
Basis
Janelle Salaun›GS vs DAL · threes · priced 1d 2h before the gameUnder 2.5-160 at ESPN BETproj 1.43 → 1+0.67%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.63u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 threes
Price we took-160 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-160
Where our side closed-156
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.43 threes
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed64.2%
Actual1 threes
Settled+0.63u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.67%
Basis
Kahleah Copper›PHX vs CON · threes · priced 1d 0h before the gameUnder 2.5-180 at ESPN BETproj 1.53 → 1not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.56u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 threes
Price we took-180 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-180
Where our side closed+125 on 1.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.53 threes
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed67.7%
Actual1 threes
Settled+0.56u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Michaela Onyenwere›WAS vs ATL · threes · priced 11h 55m before the gameUnder 1.5-185 at ESPN BETproj 1.08 → 0+0.50%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.54u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-185 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game11h 55m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-195
Where our side closed-186
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.08 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed66.0%
Actual0 threes
Settled+0.54u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.50%
Leila Lacan›CON vs PHX · threes · priced 1d 0h before the gameUnder 1.5-230 at ReBetproj 0.93 → 0−2.44%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.43u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-230 at ReBet
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-230
Where our side closed-205
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.93 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed69.0%
Actual0 threes
Settled+0.43u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.44%
Basis
Diamond Miller›CON vs PHX · threes · priced 1d 0h before the gameUnder 1.5-180 at ESPN BETproj 0.93 → 2−2.37%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-180 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-180
Where our side closed-160
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.93 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed68.0%
Actual2 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.37%
Gabby Williams›GS vs DAL · assists · priced 1d 2h before the gameUnder 2.5-182 at Novigproj 1.88 → 4not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-182 at Novig
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-182
Where our side closed+140 on 1.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.88 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed65.7%
Actual4 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Jordin Canada›ATL vs WAS · rebounds · priced 12h before the gameOver 3.5-130 at ESPN BETproj 3.69 → 3−8.87%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-130 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-132
Where our side closed+110
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.69 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed47.1%
Actual3 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−8.87%
Basis
Kayla Thornton›GS vs DAL · threes · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 1.5+109 at ProphetXproj 1.42 → 3+0.22%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took+109 at ProphetX
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-102
Where our side closed+111
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.42 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed49.3%
Actual3 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.22%
Kelsey Plum›LA vs CON · assists · priced 1d 0h before the gameOver 4.5+112 at betPARXproj 5.55 → 3+4.80%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 4.5 assists
Price we took+112 at betPARX
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+112
Where our side closed-106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.55 assists
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed54.7%
Actual3 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+4.80%
Basis
Paige Bueckers›DAL vs GS · points · priced 1d 2h before the gameOver 19.5+100 at Novigproj 20.1 → 17−4.34%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 19.5 points
Price we took+100 at Novig
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed+119
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection20.1 points
The market’s line19.5
Probability we displayed49.7%
Actual17 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−4.34%
Basis
Shakira Austin›WAS vs ATL · assists · priced 1d 0h before the gameUnder 2.5-112 at DraftKingsproj 2.22 → 3−2.36%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-112 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 0h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-112
Where our side closed-105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.22 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed52.0%
Actual3 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.36%
Veronica Burton›GS vs DAL · threes · priced 1d 2h before the gameUnder 1.5-140 at ESPN BETproj 0.92 → 3+1.71%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-140 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-140
Where our side closed-153
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.92 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed64.3%
Actual3 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.71%
Aug 6Thu9−3+5.88urunning +2.01u6 voidcurrent model
Caitlin Clark›IND vs LV · threes · priced 1d 2h before the gameUnder 2.5+121 at DraftKingsproj 2.19 → 2−0.31%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.21u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 threes
Price we took+121 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+121
Where our side closed+120
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.19 threes
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed51.1%
Actual2 threes
Settled+1.21u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.31%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.21%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.21%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.21% = +0.21%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.31% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game96¢
With Kalshi’s fee97¢
Counted in the price comparisonno — outside the fillable 5−95¢ band
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Rae Burrell›LA vs MIN · assists · priced 1h 34m before the gameUnder 2.5+117 at Novigproj 2.13 → 2+1.29%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.17u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took+117 at Novig
Locked before the game1h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+117
Where our side closed+106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.13 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed49.0%
Actual2 assists
Settled+1.17u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.29%
Basis
Kelsey Mitchell›IND vs LV · assists · priced 1d 2h before the gameOver 2.5+110 at FanDuelproj 2.88 → 4+1.43%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.10u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 assists
Price we took+110 at FanDuel
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+110
Where our side closed+104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.88 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed49.5%
Actual4 assists
Settled+1.10u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.43%
Basis
Aliyah Boston›IND vs LV · rebounds · priced 1d 2h before the gameOver 8.5+100 at DraftKingsproj 8.86 → 12not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 8.5 rebounds
Price we took+100 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed+135 on 9.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection8.86 rebounds
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed52.3%
Actual12 rebounds
Settled+1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Courtney Williams›MIN vs LA · points · priced 1h 34m before the gameUnder 13.5+100 at ProphetXproj 12.22 → 12+0.12%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 13.5 points
Price we took+100 at ProphetX
Locked before the game1h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed-101
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection12.22 points
The market’s line13.5
Probability we displayed53.6%
Actual12 points
Settled+1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.12%
Aja Wilson›LV vs IND · assists · priced 12h before the gameUnder 3.5-105 at Hard Rock Betproj 2.89 → 3+6.13%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.95u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took-105 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-114
Where our side closed-129
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.89 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed54.7%
Actual3 assists
Settled+0.95u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+6.13%
Basis
Olivia Miles›MIN vs LA · assists · priced 1h 34m before the gameUnder 6.5-105 at ESPN BETproj 5.05 → 5−0.85%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.95u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 6.5 assists
Price we took-105 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-105
Where our side closed+100
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.05 assists
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed58.7%
Actual5 assists
Settled+0.95u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.85%
Basis
Monique Billings›IND vs LV · points · priced 1d 2h before the gameUnder 8.5-111 at DraftKingsproj 7.8 → 8+0.45%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.90u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 points
Price we took-111 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 2h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-111
Where our side closed-113
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.8 points
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed55.6%
Actual8 points
Settled+0.90u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.45%
Jackie Young›LV vs IND · threes · priced 12h before the gameOver 1.5-167 at ReBetproj 2.57 → 2+1.09%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.60u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 1.5 threes
Price we took-167 at ReBet
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-188
Where our side closed-170
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.57 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed63.3%
Actual2 threes
Settled+0.60u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.09%
Basis
Kayla Mcbride›MIN vs LA · rebounds · priced 1h 34m before the gameOver 2.5-108 at betPARXproj 3.05 → 0−0.10%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 rebounds
Price we took-108 at betPARX
Locked before the game1h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-108
Where our side closed-105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.05 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed56.1%
Actual0 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.10%
Napheesa Collier›MIN vs LA · assists · priced 1h 34m before the gameUnder 2.5+100 at Hard Rock Betproj 2.08 → 6−2.32%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took+100 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game1h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed+115
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.08 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed54.2%
Actual6 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.32%
Natasha Howard›MIN vs LA · rebounds · priced 1h 34m before the gameOver 6.5+130 at Novigproj 7.12 → 6+0.50%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 6.5 rebounds
Price we took+130 at Novig
Locked before the game1h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+130
Where our side closed+124
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.12 rebounds
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed47.3%
Actual6 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.50%
Basis
Emily Engstler›POR vs TOR · points · priced 2h 34m before the gameUnder 9.5-102 at ProphetXproj 8.220.00%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 9.5 points
Price we took-102 at ProphetX
Locked before the game2h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-102
Where our side closed-102
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection8.22 points
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed53.2%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Julie Allemand›TOR vs POR · points · priced 2h 5m before the gameUnder 7.5-103 at ProphetXproj 6.81−2.05%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 7.5 points
Price we took-103 at ProphetX
Locked before the game2h 5m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-103
Where our side closed-102
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.81 points
The market’s line7.5
Probability we displayed52.0%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Laura Juskaite›TOR vs POR · points · priced 2h 34m before the gameUnder 9.5-105 at ProphetXproj 8.3+0.76%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 9.5 points
Price we took-105 at ProphetX
Locked before the game2h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-105
Where our side closed-106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection8.3 points
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed55.6%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Maria Conde›TOR vs POR · threes · priced 2h 34m before the gameUnder 1.5+135 at Novigproj 1.18+0.78%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took+135 at Novig
Locked before the game2h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+135
Where our side closed+130
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.18 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed48.6%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Marina Mabrey›TOR vs POR · points · priced 2h 34m before the gameUnder 19.5-104 at betPARXproj 18.9−0.83%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 19.5 points
Price we took-104 at betPARX
Locked before the game2h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-104
Where our side closed+100
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection18.9 points
The market’s line19.5
Probability we displayed50.3%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Megan Gustafson›POR vs TOR · rebounds · priced 2h 34m before the gameUnder 4.5+111 at Caesarsproj 3.93−1.00%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 4.5 rebounds
Price we took+111 at Caesars
Locked before the game2h 34m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+111
Where our side closed+108
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.93 rebounds
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed51.7%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Aug 5Wed5−8−3.41urunning −3.88u13 voidcurrent model
Rebecca Allen›NY vs SEA · rebounds · priced 10h 54m before the gameUnder 2.5+118 at FanDuelproj 1.89 → 1−1.51%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.18u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 rebounds
Price we took+118 at FanDuel
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+118
Where our side closed+122
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.89 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed51.7%
Actual1 rebounds
Settled+1.18u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−1.51%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.83%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.83%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.83% = −0.83%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.51% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Dominique Malonga›SEA vs NY · points · priced 10h 54m before the gameOver 15.5+104 at Novigproj 16.19 → 31−2.25%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.04u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 15.5 points
Price we took+104 at Novig
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+104
Where our side closed+115
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection16.19 points
The market’s line15.5
Probability we displayed56.5%
Actual31 points
Settled+1.04u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.25%
Basis
Kelsey Plum›LA vs ATL · points · priced 8h 14m before the gameOver 15.5-109 at ProphetXproj 15.82 → 19not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.92u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 15.5 points
Price we took-109 at ProphetX
Locked before the game8h 14m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-109 on 16
Where our side closed+100 on 16.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection15.82 points
The market’s line15.5
Probability we displayed54.9%
Actual19 points
Settled+0.92u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Alyssa Thomas›PHX vs ATL · rebounds · priced 10h 54m before the gameUnder 8.25-130 at Hard Rock Betproj 6.92 → 5not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.77u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.25 rebounds
Price we took-130 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-130
Where our side closed-122 on 8.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.92 rebounds
The market’s line8.25
Probability we displayed62.0%
Actual5 rebounds
Settled+0.77u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Dewanna Bonner›PHX vs ATL · threes · priced 10h 54m before the gameUnder 1.5-147 at Novigproj 0.85 → 1+0.92%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.68u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-147 at Novig
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-147
Where our side closed-148
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.85 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed62.4%
Actual1 threes
Settled+0.68u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.92%
Basis
Angel Reese›ATL vs PHX · assists · priced 10h 54m before the gameUnder 2.5-128 at BetOnlineproj 2.13 → 4−0.28%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-128 at BetOnline
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-128
Where our side closed-139
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.13 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed60.1%
Actual4 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.28%
Flaujae Johnson›SEA vs NY · points · priced 10h 54m before the gameOver 15.5+115 at BetOnlineproj 16.25 → 11+5.96%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 15.5 points
Price we took+115 at BetOnline
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+115
Where our side closed-118
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection16.25 points
The market’s line15.5
Probability we displayed50.1%
Actual11 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+5.96%
Jonquel Jones›NY vs SEA · assists · priced 10h 54m before the gameUnder 2.5+150 at ProphetXproj 2.18 → 7+3.69%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took+150 at ProphetX
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+150
Where our side closed+130
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.18 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed48.3%
Actual7 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+3.69%
Kahleah Copper›PHX vs ATL · rebounds · priced 10h 54m before the gameOver 3.5+125 at Hard Rock Betproj 3.85 → 2+0.40%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 3.5 rebounds
Price we took+125 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+125
Where our side closed+120
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.85 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed47.6%
Actual2 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.40%
Natasha Mack›PHX vs ATL · rebounds · priced 10h 54m before the gameOver 4.5+128 at BetOnlineproj 5.48 → 1+9.75%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 4.5 rebounds
Price we took+128 at BetOnline
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+128
Where our side closed-113
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.48 rebounds
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed56.8%
Actual1 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+9.75%
Natisha Hiedeman›SEA vs NY · rebounds · priced 10h 54m before the gameOver 2.5+100 at Novigproj 2.93 → 2+1.05%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 2.5 rebounds
Price we took+100 at Novig
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed-105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.93 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed51.1%
Actual2 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.05%
Rhyne Howard›ATL vs PHX · threes · priced 10h 54m before the gameUnder 3.5-141 at Novigproj 2.69 → 5−2.22%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 threes
Price we took-141 at Novig
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-141
Where our side closed-132
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.69 threes
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed60.7%
Actual5 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−2.22%
Basis
Sabrina Ionescu›NY vs SEA · assists · priced 10h 54m before the gameUnder 5.5+111 at Novigproj 4.21 → 6−0.22%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5.5 assists
Price we took+111 at Novig
Locked before the game10h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+111
Where our side closed+109
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.21 assists
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed57.1%
Actual6 assists
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.22%
Alanna Smith›DAL vs WAS · rebounds · priced 11h 24m before the gameUnder 3.5+104 at Novigproj 2.11+3.63%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took+104 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+104
Where our side closed-106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.11 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed57.4%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Ariel Atkins›LA vs CHI · assists · priced 12h 54m before the gameUnder 3.5-120 at Novigproj 2.73+3.88%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took-120 at Novig
Locked before the game12h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-120
Where our side closed-146
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.73 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed62.8%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Courtney Vandersloot›CHI vs LA · rebounds · priced 8h 5m before the gameUnder 3.5-168 at FanDuelproj 2.87−7.36%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-168 at FanDuel
Locked before the game8h 5m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-122 on 2.5
Where our side closed-117
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.87 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed60.8%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Dearica Hamby›LA vs CHI · assists · priced 12h 54m before the gameUnder 2.5+115 at Hard Rock Betproj 2.17+0.54%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took+115 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game12h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+115
Where our side closed+118
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.17 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed50.8%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Erica Wheeler›LA vs CHI · assists · priced 12h 54m before the gameUnder 6-150 at ProphetXproj 4.59−15.79%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 6 assists
Price we took-150 at ProphetX
Locked before the game12h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-150
Where our side closed+118
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.59 assists
The market’s line6
Probability we displayed52.0%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Georgia Amoore›WAS vs DAL · assists · priced 11h 24m before the gameUnder 3.5-111 at Novigproj 2.64+0.86%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 assists
Price we took-111 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-111
Where our side closed-117
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.64 assists
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed56.5%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Jessica Shepard›DAL vs WAS · assists · priced 11h 24m before the gameUnder 5.5+108 at Novigproj 4.88+3.03%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5.5 assists
Price we took+108 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+108
Where our side closed-106
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.88 assists
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed55.3%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Kamilla Cardoso›CHI vs LA · assists · priced 12h 54m before the gameUnder 2.5-160 at Novigproj 1.88−12.42%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-160 at Novig
Locked before the game12h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-160
Where our side closed+105
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.88 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed55.4%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Kiki Iriafen›WAS vs DAL · points · priced 11h 24m before the gameUnder 15.5+100 at Novigproj 14.94+0.16%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 15.5 points
Price we took+100 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed-104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection14.94 points
The market’s line15.5
Probability we displayed50.8%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Lauren Betts›WAS vs DAL · rebounds · priced 11h 24m before the gameOver 3.5-110 at Hard Rock Betproj 4.73+2.89%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-110 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game11h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-110
Where our side closed-122
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.73 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed58.3%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Natasha Cloud›CHI vs LA · rebounds · priced 12h 54m before the gameUnder 3.5-135 at Novigproj 2.94−2.23%CLV vs closePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 3.5 rebounds
Price we took-135 at Novig
Locked before the game12h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-135
Where our side closed-129
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.94 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed57.3%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Paige Bueckers›DAL vs WAS · points · priced 11h 24m before the gameUnder 20+135 at Novigproj 19.7not measurablethe book moved the linePPD0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 20 points
Price we took+135 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+135
Where our side closed-114 on 20.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection19.7 points
The market’s line20
Probability we displayed49.8%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
PPD — the game was postponed — it was never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Sydney Taylor›CHI vs LA · threes · priced 12h 54m before the gameUnder 2.5-141 at Novigproj 2.05−0.18%CLV vs closeDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 threes
Price we took-141 at Novig
Locked before the game12h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-141
Where our side closed-140
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.05 threes
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed60.1%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Aug 4Tue2−2−0.59urunning −0.46ucurrent model
Gabby Williams›GS vs TOR · assists · priced 7h 15m before the gameUnder 2.5-139 at betPARXproj 1.92 → 0+0.46%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.72u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 assists
Price we took-139 at betPARX
Locked before the game7h 15m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-144
Where our side closed-138
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.92 assists
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed60.3%
Actual0 assists
Settled+0.72u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.46%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.18%
…of which: waiting paid+0.86%
…of which: market drift−1.03%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.86% + −1.03% = −0.18%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.46% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game96¢
With Kalshi’s fee97¢
Counted in the price comparisonno — outside the fillable 5−95¢ band
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Veronica Burton›GS vs TOR · threes · priced 8h 39m before the gameUnder 1.5-144 at ProphetXproj 0.96 → 1−0.93%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.69u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-144 at ProphetX
Locked before the game8h 39m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-158
Where our side closed-136
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.96 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed60.8%
Actual1 threes
Settled+0.69u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.93%
Cecilia Zandalasini›GS vs TOR · threes · priced 1d 5h before the gameUnder 1.5-165 at ESPN BETproj 0.68 → 2−0.67%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-165 at ESPN BET
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-165
Where our side closed-160
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.68 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed65.7%
Actual2 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.67%
Kayla Thornton›GS vs TOR · threes · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 1.5+112 at betPARXproj 1.09 → 4+0.44%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took+112 at betPARX
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed+110
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection1.09 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed50.8%
Actual4 threes
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.44%
Aug 3Mon1−1−0.22urunning +0.12ucurrent model
Marine Johannes›NY vs SEA · points · priced 2h 54m before the gameUnder 7.5-128 at DraftKingsproj 6.04 → 6−0.12%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.78u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 7.5 points
Price we took-128 at DraftKings
Locked before the game2h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-128
Where our side closed-128
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.04 points
The market’s line7.5
Probability we displayed58.3%
Actual6 points
Settled+0.78u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.12%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price0.00%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift0.00%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + 0.00% = 0.00%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.12% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Dijonai Carrington›CHI vs PHX · points · priced 4h 54m before the gameUnder 9.5-112 at DraftKingsproj 7.1 → 16+0.89%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 9.5 points
Price we took-112 at DraftKings
Locked before the game4h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-112
Where our side closed-115
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.1 points
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed56.1%
Actual16 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+0.89%
Aug 2Sun3−1+1.73urunning +0.34u1 voidcurrent model
Nyara Sabally›TOR vs GS · points · priced 6h 24m before the gameOver 10.5+105 at Hard Rock Betproj 11.3 → 19not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+1.05u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 10.5 points
Price we took+105 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game6h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+105
Where our side closed+106 on 11.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection11.3 points
The market’s line10.5
Probability we displayed52.8%
Actual19 points
Settled+1.05u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Laura Juskaite›TOR vs GS · points · priced 3h 44m before the gameOver 9.5-118 at ProphetXproj 12.34 → 15not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.85u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 9.5 points
Price we took-118 at ProphetX
Locked before the game3h 44m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-125
Where our side closed+110 on 10.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection12.34 points
The market’s line9.5
Probability we displayed53.3%
Actual15 points
Settled+0.85u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Frieda Buhner›POR vs LA · points · priced 1h 24m before the gameUnder 8.5-120 at DraftKingsproj 5.11 → 3+1.01%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.83u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 points
Price we took-120 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-120
Where our side closed-126
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.11 points
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed60.4%
Actual3 points
Settled+0.83u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.01%
Basis
Kiki Rice›TOR vs GS · points · priced 4h 25m before the gameUnder 11.5-115 at FanDuelproj 9.58 → 16not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 11.5 points
Price we took-115 at FanDuel
Locked before the game4h 25m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-115
Where our side closed-103 on 11
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection9.58 points
The market’s line11.5
Probability we displayed54.7%
Actual16 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Kelsey Plum›LA vs POR · assists · priced 1d 5h before the gameOver 4.5-107 at DraftKingsproj 4.67not measurableno closing quoteDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 4.5 assists
Price we took-107 at DraftKings
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-107
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection4.67 assists
The market’s line4.5
Probability we displayed53.5%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — no usable closing quote was captured before the game. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Aug 1Sat1−1−0.24urunning −1.39ucurrent model
Rebecca Allen›NY vs PHX · threes · priced 6h 54m before the gameUnder 1.5-132 at FanDuelproj 0.32 → 1+1.65%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.76u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 1.5 threes
Price we took-132 at FanDuel
Locked before the game6h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-132
Where our side closed-140
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection0.32 threes
The market’s line1.5
Probability we displayed67.0%
Actual1 threes
Settled+0.76u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.65%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.44%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.44%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.44% = +1.44%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.65% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Elizabeth Williams›CHI vs LV · points · priced 4h 54m before the gameUnder 6.5+100 at ProphetXproj 5.58 → 7+1.15%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 6.5 points
Price we took+100 at ProphetX
Locked before the game4h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed-104
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.58 points
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed55.4%
Actual7 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.15%
Jul 31Fri1−0+0.96urunning −1.15ucurrent model
Awak Kuier›DAL vs WAS · points · priced 11h 25m before the gameUnder 5-104 at Novigproj 3.69 → 0not measurablethe book moved the line✓ Won+0.96u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 5 points
Price we took-104 at Novig
Locked before the game11h 25m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-104
Where our side closed-108 on 4.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.69 points
The market’s line5
Probability we displayed53.3%
Actual0 points
Settled+0.96u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Jul 30Thu2−0+1.89urunning −2.11ucurrent model
Charlisse Legerwalker›CON vs CHI · points · priced 6h 5m before the gameOver 6.5+100 at BetRiversproj 8.17 → 10−0.28%CLV vs close✓ Won+1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 6.5 points
Price we took+100 at BetRivers
Locked before the game6h 5m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+100
Where our side closed-109
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection8.17 points
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed53.1%
Actual10 points
Settled+1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.28%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.15%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.15%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.15% = +2.15%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.28% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Olivia Nelsonododa›CON vs CHI · rebounds · priced 10h 10m before the gameOver 6.5-112 at ProphetXproj 7.19 → 11+2.38%CLV vs close✓ Won+0.89u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 6.5 rebounds
Price we took-112 at ProphetX
Locked before the game10h 10m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-112
Where our side closed-124
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.19 rebounds
The market’s line6.5
Probability we displayed56.6%
Actual11 rebounds
Settled+0.89u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+2.38%
Jul 29Wed0−00.00urunning −4.00u2 voidcurrent model
Cecilia Zandalasini›GS vs PHX · points · priced 5h 54m before the gameUnder 7+112 at ProphetXproj 6.45not measurablethe book moved the lineNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 7 points
Price we took+112 at ProphetX
Locked before the game5h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-120 on 7.5
Where our side closed-103 on 8.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.45 points
The market’s line7
Probability we displayed47.7%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Kaitlyn Chen›GS vs PHX · points · priced 7h 54m before the gameUnder 8.5-115 at FanDuelproj 5.45−4.35%CLV vs closeNO ACTION0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 points
Price we took-115 at FanDuel
Locked before the game7h 54m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-115
Where our side closed+100
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection5.45 points
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed57.4%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
NO ACTION — no stat line we could confirm. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Jul 28Tue0−4−4.00urunning −4.00u2 voidcurrent model
Aneesah Morrow›CON vs WAS · points · priced 5h 24m before the gameUnder 8.5+111 at Novigproj 7.27 → 21not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 8.5 points
Price we took+111 at Novig
Locked before the game5h 24m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+111
Where our side closed+111 on 10.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection7.27 points
The market’s line8.5
Probability we displayed56.4%
Actual21 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Leila Lacan›CON vs WAS · points · priced 1d 5h before the gameOver 11.5-110 at Hard Rock Betproj 13.06 → 9not measurablethe book moved the line✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 11.5 points
Price we took-110 at Hard Rock Bet
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-110
Where our side closed-105 on 12.5
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection13.06 points
The market’s line11.5
Probability we displayed49.3%
Actual9 points
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
Not measurable on this row — the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets. It is shown as unmeasurable rather than as zero, because those are different statements.
Napheesa Collier›MIN vs TOR · PRA · priced 12h before the gameOver 28.5+102 at Novigproj 30.93 → 24−0.44%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 28.5 PRA
Price we took+102 at Novig
Locked before the game12h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-110
Where our side closed+102
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection30.93 PRA
The market’s line28.5
Probability we displayed54.1%
Actual24 PRA
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish−0.44%
Basis
Sophie Cunningham›IND vs SEA · rebounds · priced 11h 59m before the gameUnder 2.5-128 at ProphetXproj 2.13 → 5+1.20%CLV vs close✗ Lost−1.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideUnder 2.5 rebounds
Price we took-128 at ProphetX
Locked before the game11h 59m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-130
Where our side closed-142
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection2.13 rebounds
The market’s line2.5
Probability we displayed61.5%
Actual5 rebounds
Settled−1.00u
Graded from the box score at the price we took — never at a better price found afterwards. This row is permanent: positions settle, they never disappear.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish+1.20%
Aaliyah Edwards›CON vs WAS · rebounds · priced 5h 15m before the gameOver 3.5+120 at Novigproj 3.62+13.05%CLV vs closeDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 3.5 rebounds
Price we took+120 at Novig
Locked before the game5h 15m before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw+117
Where our side closed-141
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection3.62 rebounds
The market’s line3.5
Probability we displayed54.0%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
Nalyssa Smith›LV vs POR · rebounds · priced 1d 5h before the gameOver 5.5-101 at BetOnlineproj 6.19−2.84%CLV vs closeDNP0.00u
The position, as logged
Our sideOver 5.5 rebounds
Price we took-101 at BetOnline
Locked before the game1d 5h before the scheduled start
First price we ever saw-101
Where our side closed+110
What we projected, and what happened
Our projection6.19 rebounds
The market’s line5.5
Probability we displayed49.2%
Actualnever played
Settled0.00u
DNP — ruled out before the game — never played. No stake was ever at risk, so it settles at zero and sits in neither the wins nor the losses. It stays on the record because we did take this line, and that is the claim.
Closing line value
CLV — the number we publish
132 plays across the groups = 132 in the headline
✓This identity holds:74−57 across the groups = 74−57−1 in the headline
✓This identity holds:+7.93u across the groups = +7.93u in the headline
0 of 2 groups are under 20 decided plays, so their hit rate and return are withheld. The raw won–lost and the units are still shown, because those are counts, not rates.
106
–25 the book moved the line, so our price and the close are quotes on two different bets
–1 no usable closing quote was captured before the game
✓This identity holds:106 + 25 + 1 = 132 graded plays in this scope
All three legs are raw price-to-price, which is the only way they telescope. The headline above is the de-vigged number on the 97 of 106 rows where we froze both sides at lock — a different, better-behaved measurement, and never averaged together with these.
Never read closing line value as a return. Beating the close by less than the margin we paid to get there still loses money: break-even is roughly half the hold, about +2.25 points. The figure above is below that line.
This is the CLV of the plays in this record, and it is not the only CLV number we publish: the wider pool of every price we ever locked — including model-qualified picks we price purely to measure ourselves and never bet — is itemised on the CLV audit. Both are real and they answer different questions, which is why they are never averaged into one.
none of them count here
What would prove this page wrong. A play that appears here today and is gone tomorrow; a loss that changes to a void; a start date that moves after a bad week; a subset whose n cannot be reconciled with the headline’s n. The CSV below is downloadable and diffable precisely so those are checkable rather than promised.
✓Passed:all 132 timestamped plays were priced before the game started
✓Passed:all 48 voids settle at exactly 0 — none of them moves the record
✓Passed:every logged row still carries its date and its outcome
✓Passed:the rate gate is n=20, the same constant every StatIQ surface uses
What this page deliberately does not do. It does not score the probability we published against what happened, and it does not repeat the backtests — that is the model report card, and printing the same calibration table in two places is how two surfaces start to disagree. Likewise the itemised list of every price we ever locked, including the measurement-only ones that are not in this record, is the CLV audit. This page answers exactly one question: what happened to the plays we published?
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−2.28%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game57¢
With Kalshi’s fee59¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−3.79%
…of which: waiting paid+1.51%
…of which: market drift−5.29%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+1.51% + −5.29% = −3.79%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.66% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game59¢
With Kalshi’s fee61¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.66%
…of which: waiting paid+1.04%
…of which: market drift−1.70%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+1.04% + −1.70% = −0.66%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.24% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game67¢
With Kalshi’s fee69¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−5.95%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−5.95%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −5.95% = −5.95%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −5.77% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.39%
…of which: waiting paid+3.83%
…of which: market drift−5.21%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+3.83% + −5.21% = −1.39%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.33% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game50¢
With Kalshi’s fee52¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.43%
…of which: waiting paid+3.42%
…of which: market drift−2.99%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+3.42% + −2.99% = +0.43%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.52% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+2.80%
…of which: waiting paid+7.03%
…of which: market drift−4.23%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+0.64%
…of which: waiting paid+3.03%
…of which: market drift−2.39%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.50%
…of which: waiting paid+0.25%
…of which: market drift−0.74%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.25% + −0.74% = −0.50%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.66% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game50¢
With Kalshi’s fee52¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game55¢
With Kalshi’s fee57¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−8.98%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−7.53%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−7.53%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −7.53% = −7.53%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −8.98% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−2.38%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−4.27%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−4.27%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −4.27% = −4.27%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.38% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game54¢
With Kalshi’s fee56¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+1.04%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.27%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.27%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.27% = +1.27%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.04% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+2.74%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.80%
…of which: waiting paid−3.64%
…of which: market drift+6.44%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−3.64% + +6.44% = +2.80%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.74% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game62¢
With Kalshi’s fee64¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+3.40%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+3.40%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +3.40% = +3.40%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.92% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game54¢
With Kalshi’s fee56¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−3.74%
…of which: waiting paid−0.20%
…of which: market drift−3.53%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−0.20% + −3.53% = −3.74%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.01% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game55¢
With Kalshi’s fee57¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.16%
…of which: waiting paid−7.74%
…of which: market drift+8.90%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−7.74% + +8.90% = +1.16%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.28% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game55¢
With Kalshi’s fee57¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.39%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.39%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.39% = +0.39%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.29% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game59¢
With Kalshi’s fee61¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−4.40%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−4.40%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −4.40% = −4.40%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.09% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price−1.68%
…of which: waiting paid+3.76%
…of which: market drift−5.44%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game57¢
With Kalshi’s fee59¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.13%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−0.24%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price−0.24%
…of which: waiting paid+9.78%
…of which: market drift−10.02%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game53¢
With Kalshi’s fee55¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+3.74%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+3.74%
…of which: waiting paid+3.98%
…of which: market drift−0.24%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−0.92%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.49%
…of which: waiting paid+1.54%
…of which: market drift−2.02%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+1.54% + −2.02% = −0.49%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.92% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game62¢
With Kalshi’s fee64¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−5.15%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−7.05%
…of which: waiting paid+0.84%
…of which: market drift−7.89%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.84% + −7.89% = −7.05%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −5.15% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.46%
…of which: waiting paid+3.27%
…of which: market drift−4.73%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+3.27% + −4.73% = −1.46%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.26% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.22%
…of which: waiting paid−2.91%
…of which: market drift+4.13%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−2.91% + +4.13% = +1.22%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.03% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.25%
…of which: waiting paid+2.42%
…of which: market drift−2.17%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.42% + −2.17% = +0.25%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.02% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+2.84%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.72%
…of which: waiting paid−0.72%
…of which: market drift+2.44%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−0.72% + +2.44% = +1.72%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.84% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game51¢
With Kalshi’s fee53¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+1.13%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+1.13%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.13%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
0.00%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price0.00%
…of which: waiting paid−0.45%
…of which: market drift+0.45%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−1.87%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.36%
…of which: waiting paid−0.87%
…of which: market drift+1.23%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−0.87% + +1.23% = +0.36%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.87% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game60¢
With Kalshi’s fee62¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game94¢
With Kalshi’s fee95¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+0.09%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.64%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.64%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.64% = −0.64%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.09% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+3.38%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+3.38%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+3.38%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.63%
…of which: waiting paid+2.61%
…of which: market drift−0.98%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.61% + −0.98% = +1.63%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.59% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game41¢
With Kalshi’s fee43¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+9.87%
…of which: waiting paid+7.96%
…of which: market drift+1.91%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game49¢
With Kalshi’s fee51¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+0.48%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game53¢
With Kalshi’s fee55¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.25%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.25%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.25% = +0.25%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.78% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.74%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.74%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.74% = −0.74%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.99% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game91¢
With Kalshi’s fee92¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.49%
…of which: waiting paid+0.94%
…of which: market drift−1.43%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.94% + −1.43% = −0.49%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.13% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game52¢
With Kalshi’s fee54¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−6.47%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−6.47%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −6.47% = −6.47%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −4.42% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game50¢
With Kalshi’s fee52¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.64%
…of which: waiting paid−1.01%
…of which: market drift−0.63%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−1.01% + −0.63% = −1.64%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.86% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game56¢
With Kalshi’s fee58¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.33%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.33%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.33% = +2.33%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.35% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.30%
…of which: waiting paid+0.75%
…of which: market drift−0.45%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.75% + −0.45% = +0.30%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.43% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.48%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.48%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.48% = +2.48%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.00% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game60¢
With Kalshi’s fee62¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Raw close vs our price
−1.64%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game54¢
With Kalshi’s fee56¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.81%
…of which: waiting paid+3.18%
…of which: market drift−1.37%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+3.18% + −1.37% = +1.81%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.44% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game63¢
With Kalshi’s fee65¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game64¢
With Kalshi’s fee66¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+4.27%
…of which: waiting paid+9.57%
…of which: market drift−5.30%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+9.57% + −5.30% = +4.27%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.26% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game94¢
With Kalshi’s fee95¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−2.39%
…of which: waiting paid−0.42%
…of which: market drift−1.98%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−0.42% + −1.98% = −2.39%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.13% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.23%
…of which: waiting paid+7.02%
…of which: market drift−5.78%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+7.02% + −5.78% = +1.23%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.73% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game55¢
With Kalshi’s fee57¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.24%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.24%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.24% = +1.24%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.40% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price−2.91%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Raw close vs our price0.00%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game57¢
With Kalshi’s fee59¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Kalshi ask, pre-game48¢
With Kalshi’s fee50¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Raw close vs our price0.00%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+4.73%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+4.73%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +4.73% = +4.73%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +5.41% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price0.00%
…of which: waiting paid+1.22%
…of which: market drift−1.22%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game54¢
With Kalshi’s fee56¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.15%
…of which: waiting paid+2.38%
…of which: market drift−0.23%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.38% + −0.23% = +2.15%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.70% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.98%
…of which: waiting paid+3.49%
…of which: market drift−2.51%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+3.49% + −2.51% = +0.98%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The 0.00% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price−2.03%
…of which: waiting paid+3.03%
…of which: market drift−5.07%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.01%
…of which: waiting paid+1.59%
…of which: market drift−0.58%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+1.59% + −0.58% = +1.01%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.58% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.90%
…of which: waiting paid+0.20%
…of which: market drift−2.11%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.20% + −2.11% = −1.90%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.64% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+3.73%
…of which: waiting paid+3.73%
…of which: market drift0.00%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+3.73% + 0.00% = +3.73%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.48% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.72%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.72%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.72% = +0.72%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.69% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game63¢
With Kalshi’s fee65¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.83%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−1.83%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −1.83% = −1.83%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.62% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game61¢
With Kalshi’s fee63¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.26%
…of which: waiting paid+0.98%
…of which: market drift−2.23%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.98% + −2.23% = −1.26%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.34% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−9.63%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−9.63%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −9.63% = −9.63%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −10.01% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.15%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.15%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.15% = +1.15%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.76% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game67¢
With Kalshi’s fee69¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−2.03%
…of which: waiting paid+1.06%
…of which: market drift−3.09%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+1.06% + −3.09% = −2.03%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.57% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.20%
…of which: waiting paid+2.68%
…of which: market drift−0.48%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.68% + −0.48% = +2.20%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.33% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game54¢
With Kalshi’s fee56¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.71%
…of which: waiting paid−0.18%
…of which: market drift+0.89%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (−0.18% + +0.89% = +0.71%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.84% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game58¢
With Kalshi’s fee60¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+0.04%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.44%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.44%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.44% = −0.44%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.04% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−5.45%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−5.45%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −5.45% = −5.45%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −4.66% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game47¢
With Kalshi’s fee49¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.24%
…of which: waiting paid+0.24%
…of which: market drift−0.48%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.24% + −0.48% = −0.24%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.01% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game52¢
With Kalshi’s fee54¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−2.07%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−2.07%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −2.07% = −2.07%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.78% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.16%
…of which: waiting paid+0.49%
…of which: market drift−0.32%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.49% + −0.32% = +0.16%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.26% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game62¢
With Kalshi’s fee64¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.60%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.60%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.60% = −0.60%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.67% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game80¢
With Kalshi’s fee82¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game68¢
With Kalshi’s fee70¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.12%
…of which: waiting paid+1.19%
…of which: market drift−1.07%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+1.19% + −1.07% = +0.12%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.50% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game68¢
With Kalshi’s fee70¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−2.48%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−2.48%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −2.48% = −2.48%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.44% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−2.75%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−2.75%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −2.75% = −2.75%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.37% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game63¢
With Kalshi’s fee65¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−8.90%
…of which: waiting paid+0.37%
…of which: market drift−9.28%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.37% + −9.28% = −8.90%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −8.87% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game58¢
With Kalshi’s fee60¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.45%
…of which: waiting paid+2.65%
…of which: market drift−3.10%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.65% + −3.10% = −0.45%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.22% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game54¢
With Kalshi’s fee56¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+4.29%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+4.29%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +4.29% = +4.29%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +4.80% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price−4.34%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−4.34%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game55¢
With Kalshi’s fee57¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.61%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−1.61%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −1.61% = −1.61%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.36% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game53¢
With Kalshi’s fee55¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.14%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.14%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.14% = +2.14%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.71% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game60¢
With Kalshi’s fee62¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.46%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.46%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.46% = +2.46%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.29% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.40%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.40%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.40% = +1.40%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.43% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game48¢
With Kalshi’s fee50¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.25%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.25%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.25% = +0.25%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.12% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+5.11%
…of which: waiting paid+2.05%
…of which: market drift+3.06%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.05% + +3.06% = +5.11%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +6.13% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game98¢
With Kalshi’s fee99¢
Counted in the price comparisonno — outside the fillable 5−95¢ band
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.22%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−1.22%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −1.22% = −1.22%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.85% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game52¢
With Kalshi’s fee54¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
raw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+0.45%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.45%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.42%
…of which: waiting paid+2.73%
…of which: market drift−2.31%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.73% + −2.31% = +0.42%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.09% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game64¢
With Kalshi’s fee66¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.70%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.70%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.70% = −0.70%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.10% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−3.49%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−3.49%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −3.49% = −3.49%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.32% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game50¢
With Kalshi’s fee52¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.16%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.16%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.16% = +1.16%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.50% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
0.00%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price0.00%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift0.00%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game50¢
With Kalshi’s fee52¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−2.05%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.24%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.24%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.24% = −0.24%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.05% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+0.76%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.24%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.24%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.24% = +0.24%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.76% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+0.78%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.93%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.93%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.93% = +0.93%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.78% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−0.83%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.98%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.98%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.98% = −0.98%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.83% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game52¢
With Kalshi’s fee54¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−1.00%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.68%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.68%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.68% = +0.68%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −1.00% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−2.51%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−2.51%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −2.51% = −2.51%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.25% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.16%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.16%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.16% = +0.16%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.92% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game58¢
With Kalshi’s fee60¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.02%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.02%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.02% = +2.02%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.28% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game59¢
With Kalshi’s fee61¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+7.62%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+7.62%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +7.62% = +7.62%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +5.96% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+3.48%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+3.48%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +3.48% = +3.48%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.69% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.01%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.01%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.01% = +1.01%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.40% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+9.19%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+9.19%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +9.19% = +9.19%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +9.75% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.22%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.22%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.22% = +1.22%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.05% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.61%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−1.61%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −1.61% = −1.61%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.22% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game59¢
With Kalshi’s fee61¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.45%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.45%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.45% = +0.45%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.22% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game46¢
With Kalshi’s fee48¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+3.63%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.44%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.44%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.44% = +2.44%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.63% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+3.88%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+4.80%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+4.80%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +4.80% = +4.80%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.88% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game62¢
With Kalshi’s fee64¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−7.36%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−8.77%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+0.54%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.64%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.64%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.64% = −0.64%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.54% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game48¢
With Kalshi’s fee50¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−15.79%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−14.13%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−14.13%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −14.13% = −14.13%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −15.79% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+0.86%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.31%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.31%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.31% = +1.31%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.86% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game53¢
With Kalshi’s fee55¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+3.03%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+3.38%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+3.38%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +3.38% = +3.38%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +3.03% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game48¢
With Kalshi’s fee50¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−12.42%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−12.76%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−12.76%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −12.76% = −12.76%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −12.42% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+0.16%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.98%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.98%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.98% = +0.98%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.16% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+2.89%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.57%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.57%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.57% = +2.57%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.89% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game52¢
With Kalshi’s fee54¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−2.23%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.11%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−1.11%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −1.11% = −1.11%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.23% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−0.18%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.17%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.17%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.17% = −0.17%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.18% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−1.39%
…of which: waiting paid+2.22%
…of which: market drift−3.61%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.22% + −3.61% = −1.39%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.93% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game96¢
With Kalshi’s fee97¢
Counted in the price comparisonno — outside the fillable 5−95¢ band
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−0.73%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−0.73%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −0.73% = −0.73%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.67% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.45%
…of which: waiting paid+2.83%
…of which: market drift−2.38%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.83% + −2.38% = +0.45%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.44% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game96¢
With Kalshi’s fee97¢
Counted in the price comparisonno — outside the fillable 5−95¢ band
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.66%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.66%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.66% = +0.66%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +0.89% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Exchange cross-check
Kalshi ask, pre-game53¢
With Kalshi’s fee55¢
Counted in the price comparisonyes
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+1.21%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+1.21%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +1.21% = +1.21%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.01% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+0.98%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+0.98%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +0.98% = +0.98%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.15% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.53%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift+2.53%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + +2.53% = +2.53%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +2.38% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−4.35%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−3.49%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−3.49%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −3.49% = −3.49%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −4.35% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price0.00%
…of which: waiting paid+2.88%
…of which: market drift−2.88%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+2.88% + −2.88% = 0.00%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −0.44% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Basis
de-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price+2.54%
…of which: waiting paid+0.38%
…of which: market drift+2.16%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (+0.38% + +2.16% = +2.54%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The +1.20% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
+13.05%
Basisraw price-to-price
Raw close vs our price+13.05%
…of which: waiting paid+0.63%
…of which: market drift+12.42%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
−2.84%
Basisde-vigged, both sides frozen at lock
Raw close vs our price−2.63%
…of which: waiting paid0.00%
…of which: market drift−2.63%
Positive means we locked a better number than the market settled at. It can be negative and it is shown when it is. Beating the close and still losing is normal, and so is winning at a worse price than the close. Never read it as a return: break-even is roughly half the hold we paid, about +2.25 points.
Why two numbers. The two legs telescope to the raw figure (0.00% + −2.63% = −2.63%), because an opening quote for the other side was never captured and only raw prices can be chained. The −2.84% above is the de-vigged number, which strips the book’s margin off both ends. They differ by the change in that margin, and we never average them together.
Every value on this card is read off one row of the WNBA board. Where a field is not in the payload the card says so rather than filling it in. This row is in the CSV, unchanged.
Aja WilsonUnder 3.5-138 at Novigproj 2.59 · not settled+0.51%CLV vs closeOpen—
