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Erica Wheeler — Props & Projections

WNBA · LA

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Erica Wheeler projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-0current model (W-L)
hit rate
+1.02uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

1 graded play on Erica Wheeler under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-1, +0.10u — kept, unedited. All-time: 2-1, +1.12u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

UNDER 5.5 AssistsLogged before tip
4.32our projection (est.)
57%calibrated chance to hit
-108best price · novig
UNDER 9.5 PointsLogged before tip
9.11our projection (est.)
53%calibrated chance to hit
+105best price · prophetx
See it at prophetx
UNDER 16.5 Pts+Reb+AstLogged before tip
15.77our projection (est.)
52%calibrated chance to hit
-108best price · novig
UNDER 2.5 ReboundsWatching
2.14our projection (est.)
62%calibrated chance to hit
-170best price · hardrockbet
See it at hardrockbet
UNDER 1.5 3-Pointers MadeLogged before tip
1.17our projection (est.)
63%calibrated chance to hit
-165best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet

Graded history — every era (3: 1 current model, 2 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 9CurrentOVER 8.5 Points9.415Win+1.02u
Jul 17PreviousOVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made1.561Loss-1.00u
Jul 8PreviousOVER 8.5 Points8.6312Win+1.10u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Erica Wheeler Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports