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Aja Wilson — Props & Projections

WNBA · LV

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Aja Wilson projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-0current model (W-L)
hit rate
+0.95uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

1 graded play on Aja Wilson under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 0-1, -1.00u — kept, unedited. All-time: 1-1, -0.05u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

UNDER 3.5 AssistsLogged before tip
2.59our projection (est.)
63%calibrated chance to hit
-138best price · novig
UNDER 25.5 PointsLogged before tip
22.26our projection (est.)
54%calibrated chance to hit
-114best price · draftkings
See it at draftkings
UNDER 38.5 Pts+Reb+AstLogged before tip
34.07our projection (est.)
55%calibrated chance to hit
-110best price · draftkings
See it at draftkings
UNDER 9.5 ReboundsLogged before tip
9.43our projection (est.)
49%calibrated chance to hit
+113best price · novig
OVER 0.5 3-Pointers MadeWatching
0.56our projection (est.)
60%calibrated chance to hit
-208best price · novig

Graded history — every era (2: 1 current model, 1 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 6CurrentUNDER 3.5 Assists2.893Win+0.95u
Jul 22PreviousOVER 9.5 Rebounds10.317Loss-1.00u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Aja Wilson Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports