Yordan Alvarez — Props & Projections
MLB
Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.
How our Yordan Alvarez projections have graded
Current model · since Jul 28, 2026
1 graded play on Yordan Alvarez under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 5-2, +3.00u — kept, unedited. All-time: 6-2, +3.98u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.
Graded history — every era (8: 1 current model, 7 previous)
| Date | Model | Projection | Proj | Actual | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28 | Current | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 2.45 | 4 | Win | +0.98u |
| Jul 27 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 2.45 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 24 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 2.96 | 1 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 22 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 2.87 | 5 | Win | +1.00u |
| Jul 21 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 3.03 | 2 | Win | +0.87u |
| Jul 19 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 2.56 | 2 | Win | +0.94u |
| Jul 18 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 2.48 | 2 | Win | +1.10u |
| Jul 17 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 2.36 | 3 | Win | +1.09u |
Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.