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William Contreras — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our William Contreras projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-1current model (W-L)
hit rate
-0.29uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

2 graded plays on William Contreras under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsWatching
0.76our projection (est.)
63%calibrated chance to hit
-190best price · hardrockbet_oh
See it at hardrockbet_oh
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.08our projection (est.)
89%calibrated chance to hit
-733best price · novig
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.29our projection (est.)
70%calibrated chance to hit
-235best price · betmgm
UNDER 1.5 Total BasesWatching
1.26our projection (est.)
63%calibrated chance to hit
-180best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet

Graded history — every era (2: 2 current model)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 3CurrentUNDER 1.5 Total Bases1.370Win+0.71u
Jul 28CurrentUNDER 1.5 Total Bases1.163Loss-1.00u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

William Contreras Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports