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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

0-1current model (W-L)
hit rate
-1.00uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

1 graded play on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 0-3, -3.00u — kept, unedited. All-time: 0-4, -4.00u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsWatching
1.07our projection (est.)
66%calibrated chance to hit
-208best price · novig
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.06our projection (est.)
87%calibrated chance to hit
-670best price · betparx
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.32our projection (est.)
70%calibrated chance to hit
-228best price · novig
UNDER 1.5 Total BasesWatching
1.45our projection (est.)
61%calibrated chance to hit
-165best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet

Graded history — every era (4: 1 current model, 3 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Jul 28CurrentOVER 1.5 Total Bases1.531Loss-1.00u
Jul 24PreviousUNDER 1.5 Hits0.862Loss-1.00u
Jul 23PreviousUNDER 1.5 Total Bases1.322Loss-1.00u
Jul 18PreviousUNDER 1.5 Total Bases1.333Loss-1.00u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports