Tyler Tolbert — Props & Projections
MLB
Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.
How our Tyler Tolbert projections have graded
Current model · since Jul 28, 2026
2 graded plays on Tyler Tolbert under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 0-1, -1.00u — kept, unedited. All-time: 2-1, +1.13u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.
Graded history — every era (3: 2 current model, 1 previous)
| Date | Model | Projection | Proj | Actual | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9 | Current | UNDER 0.5 Hits | 0.5 | 0 | Win | +1.30u |
| Aug 2 | Current | UNDER 1.5 Total Bases | 0.82 | 0 | Win | +0.83u |
| Jul 22 | Previous | OVER 0.5 Total Bases | 1.22 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.