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Trea Turner — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Trea Turner projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

0-2current model (W-L)
hit rate
-2.00uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

2 graded plays on Trea Turner under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-3, -1.65u — kept, unedited. All-time: 1-5, -3.65u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsWatching
1.09our projection (est.)
69%calibrated chance to hit
-237best price · draftkings
See it at draftkings
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.18our projection (est.)
89%calibrated chance to hit
-809best price · novig
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.4our projection (est.)
71%calibrated chance to hit
-250best price · betmgm
UNDER 1.5 Total BasesWatching
1.77our projection (est.)
58%calibrated chance to hit
-150best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet

Graded history — every era (6: 2 current model, 4 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 1CurrentUNDER 1.5 Hits1.172Loss-1.00u
Jul 31CurrentUNDER 1.5 Hits1.043Loss-1.00u
Jul 25PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases1.831Loss-1.00u
Jul 22PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases2.090Loss-1.00u
Jul 21PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases2.291Loss-1.00u
Jul 19PreviousOVER 1.5 Total Bases2.012Win+1.35u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Trea Turner Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports