Tim Tawa — Props & Projections
MLB
Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.
How our Tim Tawa projections have graded
Current model · since Jul 28, 2026
3 graded plays on Tim Tawa under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-3, -2.33u — kept, unedited. All-time: 2-5, -3.56u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.
Graded history — every era (7: 3 current model, 4 previous)
| Date | Model | Projection | Proj | Actual | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | Current | UNDER 0.5 Hits | 0.69 | 2 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Aug 5 | Current | OVER 0.5 Hits | 0.7 | 2 | Win | +0.77u |
| Jul 29 | Current | OVER 0.5 Hits | 0.9 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 27 | Previous | OVER 0.5 Total Bases | 1.63 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 22 | Previous | OVER 0.5 Total Bases | 1.31 | 3 | Win | +0.67u |
| Jul 20 | Previous | OVER 0.5 Total Bases | 1.28 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 18 | Previous | OVER 0.5 Total Bases | 1.3 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.