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Spencer Jones — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Spencer Jones projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

2-1current model (W-L)
hit rate
+1.70uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

3 graded plays on Spencer Jones under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

UNDER 0.5 HitsLogged before tip
0.63our projection (est.)
49%calibrated chance to hit
+115best price · betmgm
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.16our projection (est.)
87%calibrated chance to hit
-545best price · novig
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.59our projection (est.)
72%calibrated chance to hit
-260best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
OVER 0.5 Total BasesWatching
1.35our projection (est.)
55%calibrated chance to hit
-120best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet

Graded history — every era (3: 3 current model)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 7CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.580Win+1.20u
Aug 5CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.580Win+1.50u
Jul 30CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.51Loss-1.00u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Spencer Jones Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports