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Randy Arozarena — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Randy Arozarena projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-2current model (W-L)
hit rate
-1.41uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

3 graded plays on Randy Arozarena under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 0-1, -1.00u — kept, unedited. All-time: 1-3, -2.41u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

OVER 0.5 HitsLogged before tip
0.93our projection (est.)
64%calibrated chance to hit
-165best price · ballybet
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.22our projection (est.)
89%calibrated chance to hit
-770best price · novig
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.42our projection (est.)
75%calibrated chance to hit
-275best price · betmgm
UNDER 1.5 Total BasesWatching
1.79our projection (est.)
62%calibrated chance to hit
-170best price · novig

Graded history — every era (4: 3 current model, 1 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 9CurrentOVER 0.5 Hits1.050Loss-1.00u
Jul 30CurrentOVER 0.5 Hits0.931Win+0.59u
Jul 28CurrentOVER 1.5 Total Bases1.710Loss-1.00u
Jul 21PreviousOVER 0.5 Hits1.050Loss-1.00u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Randy Arozarena Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports