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Rafael Flores — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Rafael Flores projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

3-1current model (W-L)
hit rate
+2.05uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

4 graded plays on Rafael Flores under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

UNDER 0.5 HitsWatching
0.42our projection (est.)
49%calibrated chance to hit
+110best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.08our projection (est.)
94%calibrated chance to hit
-2000best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.17our projection (est.)
75%calibrated chance to hit
-300best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 Total BasesWatching
0.75our projection (est.)
46%calibrated chance to hit
+110best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet

Graded history — every era (4: 4 current model)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 9CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.450Win+1.10u
Aug 7CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.41Loss-1.00u
Aug 5CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.440Win+0.95u
Aug 1CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.50Win+1.00u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Rafael Flores Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports