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Owen Caissie — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Owen Caissie projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-2current model (W-L)
hit rate
-0.85uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

3 graded plays on Owen Caissie under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

UNDER 0.5 HitsLogged before tip
0.53our projection (est.)
52%calibrated chance to hit
+100best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.17our projection (est.)
90%calibrated chance to hit
-1200best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.55our projection (est.)
77%calibrated chance to hit
-375best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
OVER 0.5 Total BasesWatching
1.11our projection (est.)
50%calibrated chance to hit
-108best price · williamhill_us

Graded history — every era (3: 3 current model)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 12CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.610Win+1.15u
Aug 4CurrentOVER 0.5 Hits0.70Loss-1.00u
Aug 2CurrentOVER 0.5 Hits0.70Loss-1.00u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Owen Caissie Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports