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Oswald Peraza — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Oswald Peraza projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

3-1current model (W-L)
hit rate
+3.14uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

4 graded plays on Oswald Peraza under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-0, +1.25u — kept, unedited. All-time: 4-1, +4.39u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

UNDER 0.5 HitsLogged before tip
0.39our projection (est.)
49%calibrated chance to hit
+115best price · draftkings
See it at draftkings
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.03our projection (est.)
92%calibrated chance to hit
best price
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.1our projection (est.)
82%calibrated chance to hit
-489best price · draftkings
See it at draftkings
UNDER 0.5 Total BasesWatching
0.53our projection (est.)
52%calibrated chance to hit
-112best price · williamhill_us

Graded history — every era (5: 4 current model, 1 previous)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 11CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.470Win+1.43u
Aug 10CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.431Loss-1.00u
Aug 9CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.430Win+1.20u
Aug 6CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.430Win+1.51u
Jul 21PreviousUNDER 0.5 Hits0.490Win+1.25u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Oswald Peraza Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports