Nolan Arenado — Props & Projections
MLB
Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.
How our Nolan Arenado projections have graded
Current model · since Jul 28, 2026
1 graded play on Nolan Arenado under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Prior model: 1-2, -0.30u — kept, unedited. All-time: 2-2, +0.31u. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.
Graded history — every era (4: 1 current model, 3 previous)
| Date | Model | Projection | Proj | Actual | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28 | Current | OVER 0.5 Total Bases | 1.61 | 4 | Win | +0.61u |
| Jul 26 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 1.74 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 24 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 1.91 | 0 | Loss | -1.00u |
| Jul 19 | Previous | OVER 1.5 Total Bases | 1.73 | 4 | Win | +1.70u |
Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.