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Nicky Lopez — Props & Projections

MLB

Every projection is logged before tip and graded in the open — wins and losses, never deleted. Projections are estimates with variance, not predictions of what will happen.

How our Nicky Lopez projections have graded

Current model · since Jul 28, 2026

1-2current model (W-L)
hit rate
-0.70uunits (flat 1u)
return per play

3 graded plays on Nicky Lopez under the current model. Too few plays for a hit rate or per-play return to mean anything, so we show the raw record and add the rates once the sample can support them. Short-run results are mostly noise, and we make no profit claim. See the full record or how the projections are built.

Current projections vs the line

Our projection against the market’s number, with the calibrated chance to hit and the best price we can find. Estimates, not locks.

UNDER 0.5 HitsWatching
0.45our projection (est.)
48%calibrated chance to hit
+105best price · betmgm
UNDER 0.5 Home RunsWatching
0.01our projection (est.)
95%calibrated chance to hit
-5000best price · betparx
UNDER 0.5 RBIsWatching
0.24our projection (est.)
82%calibrated chance to hit
-450best price · espnbet
See it at espnbet
UNDER 0.5 Total BasesWatching
0.58our projection (est.)
48%calibrated chance to hit
+105best price · betmgm

Graded history — every era (3: 3 current model)

DateModelProjectionProjActualResultUnits
Aug 7CurrentUNDER 0.5 Hits0.680Win+1.30u
Aug 1CurrentOVER 0.5 Hits0.760Loss-1.00u
Jul 29CurrentOVER 0.5 Hits0.820Loss-1.00u

Wins and losses shown exactly as they graded. We never delete a losing play. The Model column says which era each row belongs to — the four tiles above count the current one (since Jul 28, 2026), this table counts both.

Nicky Lopez Props & Projections — StatIQ · StatIQ Sports